1. Don't fall into a trap w the new Court & its supporting cast on these religious liberty cases about COVID regulations. So long as there are casinos open in Vegas or liquor stores/bars open, you're walking into political minefield that is easily exploitable. Should churches be
2. holding large gatherings? No! WILL they hold gatherings if they're allowed to, even though that's a bad idea on Earth 1? Yes, they will. They will hold events, then be surprised that someone managed to bring the virus to it. That one person will infect 10 others. Maybe more.
3. Maybe one of them will degrade. One might even get hospitalized. It'll a big surprise to the family, but it'll be just another story- hardly remarkable out here in Earth 2- where real news and info exists. But the fact is that you can't have schools and churches closed, but
4. casinos open. Liquor stores open. Or you're setting your party's candidates up to get hammered. Dem's need to start thinking collectively about their branding and messaging & work collectively to maximizing their electoral viability. Each elected Gov or member of Congress also
5. impacts the party's prospects overall. That's why so-called "Establishment" Ds shouldn't engage in public commentary critical about the progressive faction, or vice versa. That shit should get handled person to person, & not where the GOP can exploit it for political advantage
6. As as person that does a fair amount of ints on this topic, its possible to answer questions in such a way as to avoid controversy and to make it clear you're not going to play ball. Again, this is simply about maximizing the probability of winning- of maxing seat share. So,
7. yes, it involves strategic communications- often not personally satisfying. The GOP is going to be keen to exploit the progressive/moderate divide & try to make 2022 as much about intraparty conflict as possible. I am sure of this, this is why I am so bearish that McConnell
8. will accept Biden's olive branch which is DEF the vastly better outcome- something that would be immensely good for a country spinning off its institutional guardrails. But as I just pointed out above, McConnell has incentives to block Biden's agenda so that progressives
9. are angry at the lack of progress. That is, to me, the most likely McConnell/GOP plan. Block Biden, anger progressives, provoke as much intraparty conflict as possible to pull down turnout and try to replicate the turnout collapses of 2010 and 2014. If they can get Democrats
10. to beat themselves- they can win. Divided, Democrats are weak & they got a major assist when the tone out of the election immediately naturally tweaked that way. I think this is a major area of weakness that I am certainly hoping to mitigate.

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More from @RachelBitecofer

29 Nov
1. Bc of the influence that young voter turnout played in @JoeBiden's win, action on those policy issues are PARAMOUNT to the hopes of Ds holding onto these voters showing up in 2022 @MariaTeresa1. If a narrative builds that Biden isn't delivering, even if the reason is GOP
2. obstruction. If there's no action bc of that, but the NARRATIVE doesn't tell voters that part of the story to drive up negative partisanship, then no, 2022 WILL NOT be a continuation if the cycles we saw under a Trump. The unannounced project in working on is going to be
3. focusing on that- trying to copy what Trump did and artificially inflame neg partisanship- but w/o the Rights media machine, it won't be easy! But that's what killed Obama in 2010- letting the narrative be shaped by the GOP & not offensively protecting the House majority.
Read 4 tweets
27 Nov
1. I'll add to this, I still have some knowledge gaps as to how a fully funded, Red to Blue/DCCC campaign or a high level Senate race is operated in terms of the campaign's relationship w the party's org. I know a great deal, but its come to me in bits & pieces & I'd appreciate
2. a full debrief so I can better understand the whole process. But what I DO know of it there are some obvious issues, some of which the authors here allude to (when they refer to the DCCC's "one-size-fits-all" messaging approach). But I do know candidates are railroaded into
3. the party's preferred messaging and targeting systems, vendors, etc by essentially a behavioral choice system, that provides options but only within a predetermined strategic framework designed in advance. I do know that campaigns have so independence, esp if they are prolific
Read 13 tweets
27 Nov
1. This CRAZY man's CRAZY, non-sensical, non-linear rambling, where he splices together AGAIN two distinct topics (and thus, accidentally produces something far more nefarious sounding, but since this is THE PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA doing that, on the topic of
2. election returns/election security is a HUGE problem. Its a problem for Reps- who hear from someone who should be a reliable source, wild accusations against an imp political figure in the opposition party, @staceyabrams, even though these allegations are outlandish & recounts
3. by-hand have already disproven Trump's claims about GA's voting system having computer bugs. So we should be gaining more confidence in its system, not less. And its also racist as hell for him to alleging that Abrams is doing illegal things. LOOOOOOONNNNGGG history of GOP or7
Read 6 tweets
26 Nov
1. I am thankful that at 12pm 1/20 the powers of the prez will be removed from the most dangerous person who has ever held them. I am thankful for the many wonderful fellow Americans from across the spectrum that joined me to help get him out & save America from authoritarianism
2. I am thankful for each & every person that had to make a hard decision, stay silent & normalize this man & his party's actions- which mirror so closely actions taken by other leaders & parties as they moved to consolidate power at the expense of democracy (as documented so
3. clearly by @anneapplebaum's book Twilight of Democracy) bc their lock on power is threatened. Those of us that took a holistic look at events in the U.S., the scope of the Right's propaganda network, and the lengths to which GOP influencers (electeds & media) were willing to
Read 33 tweets
25 Nov
1. Biden is clearly being sincere in his outreach effort to Republicans, and this is no lukewarm effort- its a full court press. And I am not acting on any insider knowledge, but my assumption is that he's been pushing for a one-on-one w McConnell- hoping that he can convince him
2. hit the reset button, that the two of them, by the virtue of their positions, DO hold determinative power to force a change in tone & behavior. That if both of them committed to it, and then brought McCarthy & Pelosi & Schumer along, they COULD impose design institutional
3. management systems that redirect member behavior towards normality, towards the old way of doing business. A lot of behavior is structured by the rules, reward, and sanction systems set up by party leadership- there are a lot of carrots and sticks that could be used to reign
Read 17 tweets
25 Nov
1. This doesn't surprise me. Why? Negative partisanship. @Ilhan has been made 1 of the most infamous Ds by the GOP's shrewd electioneering shop. She's the poster-child for white identity politics, white grievance backlash, & the "fear factor" that drives the nativism, xenophobia,
2. racism in the new Republican Party- which keep in mind, looks to be heading to be a party where the median member will have to run under a platform of accusing Biden of being an illegitimate prez, of having stolen the election, and this will be the litmus test for the 2022 &
3. 2024 cycles for GOP nominees. Incumbents will be pushed to stake this position to ward off primary challenges. Again- removing Trump from the prez eradicates MASSIVE emergent threats to the Republic, domestic & foreign, but we are still in a crisis situation here. In any case,
Read 10 tweets

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