Something is extremely odd with indicator #7 of the OPHAS system. I have addressed this before in regards to region 6 of Ohio (facebook.com/.../permalink/…).
As odd as region 6 was, the variation was pretty small, up to ~2% extra overall capacity used on the OPHAS version than on the dashboard.
Keep in mind, BOTH the hospitalization dashboard on coronavirus.ohio.gov and indicator #7 on the OPHAS come from the exact same entity - the Ohio Hospital Association. There shouldn't be any difference.
**There is no reporting lag involved. The census is the census. It's one of the selling points of this indicator.**
Region 5 has the same problem, but far more severe.
Bizarrely, the COVID-19 positive percentage is identical on both the dashboard and the OPHAS, but the total ICU bed usage is off by 8-9% of total usage for 4 of the last 7 days of the OPHAS. The other three days it was off by at least 4%! (See the second image).
This is massive! So massive, that according to the coronavirus.ohio.gov dashboard, region 5 did NOT exceed 20% COVID-19 positive AND 80% total occupancy ONCE during the last two weeks. And yet, according to the OPHAS, region 5 exceeded the metrics EVERY SINGLE DAY!
Three counties will almost certainly be reaching the purple alert level this week based on this indicator being triggered! Richland, Medina and Portage Counties will be purple.
Schools will close, activities canceled, customers will shun local businesses, massive anxiety will be produced based on data that is wildly inconsistent coming from the exact same source.
Where is there any accountability in the data being used to destroy so much?
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* But wait, there's more!
I just posted about an odd change in an odd entry I stumbled across in today's CSV file.
But there's even more to this story. Whenever I post these 'long COVID' entries, I usually get some pushback about maybe people having COVID so badly that they end up back in the hospital months down the road.
Ok. Absolutely valid possibility (still not appropriate labeling them as a current COVID case, but I digress).
So I went back into the old csv files to see if this 60-69 year old Montgomery County man existed in the file as having the 4/14 onset date -
This one really bothered me during yesterday's press conference. The [linked] video [below] is of Dr. Andy Thomas of Wexner Medical Center saying things that sound really scary. None of what he said is untrue, but it gives a perception that is vastly different than reality.
facebook.com/15501424/video…
Yes, ~1/3 of all patients in the ICU or on a ventilator are COVID-positive (or at least once tested positive at some point in the last 8 months as my posts yesterday demonstrated).
But then he went on to the old threat of COVID 'crowding' other procedures out. First, there is significant regular capacity still available in the ICU (and as he noted, even the facility with 'trouble' was able to increase to 130%).