From @MMandryk: “As Moe watches malls and box stores crowded with Christmas shoppers and sees daily case COVID-19 cases and deaths rise, surely he understands now is not the time to send signals we can be lax?”
The premier has seen the same modelling numbers the physicians did at our provincial town hall last week (this is now available on the SHA website). He knows what the forecast shows in terms of our hospital capacity - even *with* our current level of restrictions.
2/5
This graph shows that the high end of the estimates for hospitalizations - **assuming current public health orders stay in place and aren’t loosened** - will reach 50% OF ALL BED CAPACITY by February.
3/5
Importantly, Moe knows our latest numbers are tracking exactly along the predicted curves, meaning these forecasts are likely to be correct.
The red X’s show our real-time data for hospitalizations and ICU admissions.
In this case the model being “good” is of little comfort.
4/5
It’s odd to feel a collective reaction from a large group attending a virtual presentation, but the overall feeling was increasing alarm. It was chilling.
So I’m having an extremely hard time reconciling our government’s (in)actions, given the briefings I know Moe has seen.
5/5
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I've been asked to do a post on how to manage anxiety and other mental health symptoms that may be popping up or exacerbated by the #pandemic. As a psychiatrist I can't help manage ventilators or relieve our tired ER physicians so hopefully this is a small way I can be helpful:
1. News and social media can be a vital source of information updates but there's a fine line between being informed and getting overwhelmed by (mis)information. Bombarding yourself like that is a surefire way to worsen anxiety; try to unplug and disconnect for a few hours a day
2. Exercise is a powerful stress buster and mood booster - it literally grows new brain cells! Your gym may be closed so get creative about other ways to move your body. Find some exercises on YouTube or dig out an old workout DVD.