Went looking for what % of statements are lies in ordinary conversation. This paper say how many lies in 10 minutes (1.74), but not how many total statements in 10 minutes! tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.120…
This paper says how many lies in 24hrs, but again with no estimate of the number of statements made in that duration. academic.oup.com/hcr/article-ab…
Here's another paper with an estimate of lies per 10min (2.18), that doesn't say how many total claims were made in that period. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.111…
This one gives lies per week, yet again no total statements per week with which to compare it. psycnet.apa.org/record/1997-38…

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More from @robinhanson

1 Oct
Judging from Trump-Biden debate, it seems strongest argument on each side is seen to be the extremists they say are associated with other side. While each tries to deny there are many such extremists, or that they support 'em, other side says they really “dog-whistle” support.
On one side are the “white supremacists” and sexists said to dominate society, especially police. On the other are looters, crazy woke cancelers, and socialists pushing for massive increases and taxes and spending.
Now 1st, I 60 years old & don’t recall this being as big an issue in a US presidential elections before. So this seems evidence of our increasing polarization.
Read 5 tweets
28 Sep
What if a firm offers a product at a price, a customer buys it at that price, and they the firm regrets their choice? It seems they can do what Office Depot just did to me. They sent me an email saying my product had just been delivered. I called them back & told them no, 1/2
no product was delivered. They weren’t at all interested in tracking down this missing delivery, and told me my ONLY option was to get a refund. No I couldn’t get the same order again if prices had changed. 2/2
This was a $200 order, fyi, so well worth the trouble to find a misplaced delivery.
Read 4 tweets
26 Sep
Are 3 ways to pick: FREE - person/orgs make own picks, VOTE - pick together (direct or via reps), & RULER - authorities pick, keep job for life, pick successors.

Each of next 16 polls gives you a type of choice. For each one, say which way to pick make most sense for that type.
Which way to pick makes most sense for:

Building wood beam width
Which way to pick makes most sense for:

Age at which can marry
Read 17 tweets
26 Sep
Are 3 ways to pick: FREE - person/orgs make own picks, VOTE - pick together (direct or via reps), & RULER - authorities pick, keep job for life, pick successors.
Next 8 polls show 4 types of choices. Pick type where it makes most sense to pick via RULER, instead of FREE or VOTE.
For which choice type does it make most sense to pick via RULER, instead of FREE or VOTE?
For which choice type does it make most sense to pick via RULER, instead of FREE or VOTE?
Read 9 tweets
26 Sep
Are 3 ways to pick: FREE - person/orgs make own picks, VOTE - pick together (direct or via reps), & RULER - authorities pick, keep job for life, pick successors.
Next 8 polls show 4 types of choices. Pick type where it makes most sense to pick via VOTE, instead of FREE or RULER.
For which choice type does it make most sense to pick via VOTE, instead of FREE or RULER?
For which choice type does it make most sense to pick via VOTE, instead of FREE or RULER?
Read 9 tweets
26 Sep
Are 3 ways to pick: FREE - person/orgs make own picks, VOTE - pick together (direct or via reps), & RULER - authorities pick, keep job for life, pick successors.
Next 8 polls show 4 types of choices. Pick type where it makes most sense to pick via FREE, instead of VOTE or RULER.
For which choice type does it make most sense to pick via FREE, instead of VOTE or RULER?
For which choice type does it make most sense to pick via FREE, instead of VOTE or RULER?
Read 9 tweets

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