Major Take Aways of 1st Phase of Kerala Local Body Election in a thread (Priority to BJP led NDA)

1. NDA is doing very well in the last leg of campaign in TVM Corporation

2. In a close fight NDA might become the SLP(Polling percentage is decisive)
3. UDF is giving unexpected fight in some wards in TVM corporation which may cause LDF heavy. Similarly in some sitting seats, BJP is feeling the heat. Even their star candidate V.V.Rajesh is struggling, yet he might make it
4. In Tvm, NDA is expected to do very well in Neyyattinkara, Attingal, Nedumangad municipalities. Varkala may also give them something to cheer abt
5. In Grama Panchayats, NDA may double it's earlier share as they fight really well in 30+ panchayats
6. NDA expected to get more district and block Panchayat Divisions from the district
7) UDF is all set to make a come back in many panchayats, yet LDF is holding on. NDA will be the actual gainer of the lot innthe district

Seeing the trend, LDF may retain Kollam corporation. UDF is a divided lot in many areas, yet they may get the minority votes in some areas helping them to increase their figure from 2015.

We wouldn't be surprised if NDA hit two digits in Kollam Corporation
9) KOLLAM- Edge for LDF in district and block panchaayat divisions while UDF will better it's position. NDA to make some notable performances in this segment
10) KOLLAM- Though LDF has edge in municipalities, UDF may make a come back in terms of performance. NDA to make their presence felt in all municipalities, esp in Paravur, Karunagappally, Kottarakkara etc
11) KOLLAM- LDF has edge in Grama Panchayats, but UDF shall better their 2015. NDA is fighting well in 20+ panchayats and expected to gain a few this time

UDF is expected to hold its bastion while LDF is pinning hopes in Jose Mani of Kerala Congress to better it's position.

In the mean time NDA expected to do one of their prime performance in this district
13) PATHANAMTHITTA- UDF is ahead in District&Block Panchayats while LDF is giving a fight to do a come back

In Municipalities, UDF has an edge and LDF trying to hold on to Adoor and Pandhala

The most interesting factor is of the strong presence of NDA in all the municipalitues

NDA may spring surprises in Thiruvalla,Pandhalam, Pathanamthitta municipalities with their performance

Similarly in Grama Panchayats also NDA is in fine fight in 30+, and we won't be surprised if they touch even two digits in terms of GPs they get this time

It looks NDA may get a portion of Christian viotes in this district while UDF in general is ahead across the district, ldf is hoping for some gains

LDF has edge in this district while UDF is making a come back. Promising element is going to be NDA

District and Block Panchayat might see an LDF edge while UDF is trying to garner more panchayats from LDF to better its position
17) ALAPPUZHA- NDA is doing well in Mavelikkara municipality where they may even snatch it from LDF. In Kayamkulam also they might go upward. Expecting good performances from Chengannur and Alappuzha too. Mostly better it's position in Cherthala too

In District and Block panchayats, NDA is in tough fight in 3-4 divisions in DP and 15 in BP. In Grama Panchayats (GP) too NDA gives tough fight in around 30 panchayats and their expectation is high in 8-10.

In GP, LDF and UDF fight it out to get the maximum

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More from @savvyasaachi

7 Dec
A Thread on Kerala Local Body Election-

5 Districts (Thiruvananthapuram, Kollam, Pathanamthitta, Alappuzha and Idukki) will go for polls tmrw. Remaining districts will go to booths on 10th & 14th respectively.
2) Elections will be taking place in 941 Grama Panchayats, 152 Block panchayats, 14 district panchayats, 86 Municipalities and 6 Corporations.

A total of 1199 local bodies will go to booth in 3 phases. Result is on 16th, Dec
-414 wards in 6 Corporations
-331 wards in 14 District Panchayats
-2080 wards in 152 Block Panchayats
-3078 wards in 86 Municipalities
-15962 wards in 941 Grama Panchayats will go 4 poll in 3 phases starting from 8/12/20. 2nd phase is on 10/12/20&3rd on 14/12/20.Result-16th
Read 6 tweets
25 Jan

As expected TRS swept the municipal poll. But, the most interesting part was the upsurge of BJP to the second position in municipal corporations (in terms of wards won)... Congress pushed to third position here.

In municipalities also INC&BJP were no match to TRS

BJP couldn't win as many municipalities as we expected. But, they yet performed well in some unexpected areas,while underperformed in expected areas.They won 3 municipalities&approx 235 wards(placed third after TRS and INC)

TRS continued its AE performance

One thing has come once again clear that TRS is much ahead of INC and BJP.

On the other hand, congress has been further declining

If BJP focus more on this state, expect to reap great results in future

BJP may end up winning some more seats
Read 4 tweets
23 Jan

As per our team's assessment, TRS is going to perform really well once again in the state and expected to bag 72-78 Municipalities

INC can win 18-24, while BJP, fought it alone, is in place to win 7-13 Municipalities and a corporation.
#Continuation 1

BJP could have performed more than this figure,but lack of cadre strength except the northern part of the state affected them. Yet they did well considering their assembly figure

And they expected to win one more Corporation, Karimnagar, where polling is on 25th
#Continuation 2

The land is absolutely fertile for BJP & the future will tell this in detail

INC tried their best 2 hold on, yet couldn't counter TRS,they r losing certain areas 2 BJP as well. In the long run it will be seen in large

TRS is still the best choice of TS voters
Read 4 tweets

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