As you know Ali bhai this matter was in govt’s hand and under PPRA rules during our term yet we still bought LNG in time and cheaper than other players in the market. And that too under constant slanderous and groundless criticism from all quarters. 1/9
The PTI govt missed two great opportunities on LNG this year. First to do a one- or two-year deal to purchase LNG for $4 or less (it’s buying at over $7 now, losing millions of dollars monthly for next two years). And second to tender in August for gas in December rather than 2/9
delay till October thus losing over $40 million just in December. But rather than admitting its mistakes it is coming up with increasingly convoluted and shifting excuses, and of course blaming the PMLN! For instance PTI says PMLN didn’t get any storage built. 3/9
How did that prevent PTI from ordering in August as opposed to Oct/Nov? Besides if LNG storage were actually important in its eyes, why couldn’t it arrange an FSU (Floating Storage Unit) that could easily have come in a few months? It is in power for over 2 years! 4/9
It also at times says PMLN govt treated LNG like a petroleum product (petrol price is determined monthly by OGRA) as opposed to indigenous gas (which is priced by OGRA in a lengthy process). How does that prevent it from ordering LNG on time or ordering enough? It doesn’t. 5/9
It also argues that ring-fencing of LNG (meaning domestic gas consumers don’t end up subsidising LNG customers) by PMLN govt means it couldn’t order enough LNG. That’s just wrong. The 3 new LNG based power plants need 600 mmcfd. In addition “4 sisters” need ~200 mmcfd of LNG. 6/9
Nandipur plus Roche need another ~200 LNG. KE needs more than 200 mmcfd. That’s more than 1200 mmcfd or two terminals’ full contracted capacity, without counting CNG pumps demand. This shows that another excuse offered by PTI (there isn’t enough demand for LNG) is also false. 7/9
CNG pumps have a demand of ~200 mmcfd. Plus a lot of industry and commercial units can and are willing to pay LNG price rather than having no energy or running on FO or diesel. The huge demand for gas in Pak plus dwindling indigenous supply were the reasons Exxon Mobil had 8/9
decided to invest in an LNG terminal in Pvt sector in Pak during the PMLN tenure. But after a 2 year run around by PTI, Exxon walked away. Other investors are also unhappy. But to set up new terminals a new pipeline has to be laid. But this govt has failed to do so. 9/9

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More from @MiftahIsmail

23 Nov
1. SBP has released its annual report. Statistics confirm a continuing economic downturn. Our GDP growth went from 5.5% in 17/18 (PMLN’s last year) to 1.9% in 18/19 and -0.4% this past yr 19/20. In 20/21 the govt expects GDP growth to be 2% and World Bank forecasts an anaemic 1%.
2. Given our population growth rate of 2.4%, in each of the three years PTI will make Pakistanis poorer on average by 0.5% (18/19), 2.8% (19/20) and 1.4% (20/21). This is not a record we can be satisfied with.
3. Inflation increased from 3.9% in 17/18 to 7.1% in 18/19 and 10.2% in 19/20 with urban food inflation at 14.6% and rural food inflation at 16.4%. Given that less well off ppl spend almost all their income on food, this is causing extreme misery on poor & lower income households
Read 19 tweets
8 Oct
1. Petroleum Division (PD) has issued very political and misleading tweets in reaction to my earlier tweets. Before that too the Energy Ministry had issued a factually incorrect press release attacking me that was not worthy of response. But today I think it’s best to respond.
2. The Energy Ministry in a press release dated Sept 25 said that “perhaps Mr Ismail does not know that the terminals are running at full capacity”. Well, THEY ARE NOT. From Sept 1 to the date the Ministry sent the press release, the PGPL terminal was running at 475 MMCFD
3. against the contracted capacity of 600 MMCFD. The statements of the Ministry are dishonest, and disappointing.

Then the Ministry again said that a 17 km long pipeline is required to give more gas to Karachi. This again is not true. They can give more gas to Karachi if they
Read 22 tweets
2 Oct
1. A 5 million dollar question is why is Ali Zaidi the Ports minister tweeting about LNG terminals which are the responsibility of the Petroleum ministry. Of course in character for PTI Ministers, his tweets are full of innuendoes & falsehoods.
Why this personal attack on me?
2. Because I recently said that the Ports Ministry is delaying grant of permission to companies at Port Qasim to set up LNG terminals by demanding both legal and illegal ‘compensation’. This is now common knowledge and a source of frustration for the Petroleum Ministry officials
3. and potential investors. In 2 years PTI has not been able to set up a single new LNG terminal and Pakistan is experiencing gas shortages that will only get worse.
Now to his accusations. He says the LNG terminals that the PMLN set up are some of the most expensive in the
Read 15 tweets
25 Sep
1. There is now considerable load shedding across Pakistan and particularly acute shortage of power and gas in Karachi. And gas shortage will only increase all over Pakistan as the winter approaches. Let’s see why this is happening. A little background first.
2. When PMLN came to power in 2013 Pakistan’s maximum power producing capacity was of 12,500 MWs. And we had piped local gas of about 3000 million cubic feet of gas per day (mmcfd). Over time gas production from fields depletes and our gas production was depleting too.
3. During our tenure we started gas production in 115 fields, a record, but almost all of these finds were small. We managed to keep supply in SSGC (1300 mmcfd) about the same but supplies decreased across the SNGPL network (from 1700 to 1300 mmcfd).
Read 15 tweets
28 Aug
1. Karachi has been ruled by PPP for the last 12 years, the first 5 of which were in coalition with MQM. Before that MQM ruled Karachi for 9 years. And in all this time Karachi has been deteriorating, so for MQM and PPP to try to evade responsibility is a bit rich.
2. Whether in violence, degradation of infrastructure, corruption in land transfers, water distribution, education etc, there isn’t one area where Karachi has kept pace with the rest of Pakistan much less the world. Yet politicians elected from and ruling Karachi aren’t bothered.
3. PPP has deprived Karachi of funds & has transferred authority to the province which should rightly belong to the city. But KMC still has residual authority & money and those aren’t being deployed effectively at all. MQM talks a good game but has never delivered for Karachi.
Read 10 tweets
18 Aug
PTI’s two year performance. Growth in national income decreased from 5.8% in 2018 to minus 0.4% in 2020. To make it more concrete, our per capita income has decreased from $1652 to $1388. Thus the average Pakistani has seen her standard of living decrease by 16% in 2 years. 1/14
Inflation rose from 3.9% in 2018 to 10.2% in 2020. Sugar, wheat flour, medicines, natural gas and electricity prices have nearly doubled. Taxes on petrol the highest ever. Food inflation is over 15%. This has caused untold misery to the poor and working people. 2/14
An additional 20 lakh people have been rendered unemployed in PTI’s two years. Over 80 lakh people have been pushed into abject poverty, and countless more have become food insecure. House rents and health care have become unaffordable for millions of working people. 3/14
Read 14 tweets

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