Share this page!

Brendan Nyhan Profile picture
Twitter logo
9 Dec, 4 tweets, 2 min read
Most Republican states are calling on a R-dominated Supreme Court to overturn the result of the election despite the outcome being obvious and the legal arguments being laughable. Imagine a Bush/Gore situation where legal issues are less clear and the margin is closer. What then?
Not a drill
The anti-democratic alliance

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
　

Keep Current with Brendan Nyhan

Brendan Nyhan Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @BrendanNyhan

Brendan Nyhan Profile picture
11 Dec
64% is a staggering number. Consider: Who runs for office and who retires in the coming years? Who ascends into leadership or moves to higher office? Easy to imagine pro-democracy folks opting out and anti-democracy folks opting in to an extent that people are not grasping.
And how many of these are only mounting federalism objections? Not all 70 actually oppose contesting the election; some are just objecting to the means by which the suit attempts to do so
Only 25% of retirees are signing compared to 69% of those staying.

Put another way, 21% of the House Republicans who haven't signed on are retiring. Now compound that over a few cycles if this continues.
Read 5 tweets
Brendan Nyhan Profile picture
9 Dec
"the correlation of Twitter metrics—likes and retweets—and persuasion was -0.3, 'meaning that the better the ad did on Twitter, the less it persuaded battleground state voters.'"
super-interesting to contrast viral videos with what was found to be most persuasive super PAC ad
This. Also note that Lincoln Project folks note that some of their online stuff was directed at media conversation and Trump himself, not persuadable voters. (Cost-effectiveness question there seems substantial, though.)
Read 5 tweets
Brendan Nyhan Profile picture
9 Dec
What would you say if you saw it in another country?
From yesterday
From yesterday
Read 7 tweets
Brendan Nyhan Profile picture
9 Dec
Important @jbview on how Rs are happy to roll Trump on the defense bill, Fed nominees, etc. but are terrified of him in other domains (e.g., Biden winning) - suggests it's less about being scared of him than of GOP voters on certain high-salience issues bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
Also this from @anthlittle. Depends how you define power! Trump got Rs to refrain from criticizing him or even support him as he violated countless norms up to and including trying to overturn the election. But he didn't get his way on policy very often.
Read 4 tweets
Brendan Nyhan Profile picture
3 Dec
The President is trying to overturn an election that he lost. We know what to call this when we see it in another country.

The fact that he won't succeed doesn't make his actions any less serious. Attempted arson is still a crime.
The President is literally attempting to overturn an election he lost. Wildly dangerous and unacceptable even if it will be unsuccessful. Image
Read 5 tweets
Brendan Nyhan Profile picture
1 Dec
Not true - great respect for @archimedino, @sekreps & Kriner but danger of another backfire panic (I would know!)

Paper: dinopc.org/papers/goingtw…

See my annotation - marginal fx of corrections were null for Rs vs control (solid red) & vs seeing unlabeled tweet (dashed red line)
@JasonReifler & I found backfire effects in 2 of 5 exps in early study fbaum.unc.edu/teaching/artic… Wrongly interpreted to mean backfire common

Further research finds backfire is rare rdcu.be/bhWnf link.springer.com/article/10.100… However still shaping debate/policy eg tweet below
We published an article finding no backfire rdcu.be/bhWnf, I wrote an Upshot column and did an NPR interview on it, and we/I wrote 2 lit reviews em.rdcu.be/wf/click?upn=K… aeaweb.org/articles?id=10… (excerpts below) but no sign of going away. Ironically v. hard to correct!
Read 7 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

Like this author's thread?

Get emails when @BrendanNyhan has new unrolls!

Check out other threads from @BrendanNyhan!

Read all threads by @BrendanNyhan