1) Having been around the edges of it at the time - it wasn’t just that Facebook got acquisitions done; it was the price they paid for the assets they assembled 💰.
2) Most of these acquisitions were of revenue-less companies. Valuing them was more of an art than a science. And you’d be naive to think Facebook didn’t use this to their strategic advantage.
3) The price is paid for these companies was consistently and conveniently out of range for FB’s competitive set. But the deals had the happy little accident of driving comparable company values beyond the point where Twitter et al could realistically acquire them to keep pace.
4) So FB got the premium asset in a category (images, messaging, etc) while making it impossible for competitors to realistically structure a viable deal with legitimate number twos in a respective space.
5) The perceived value of a lot of tech companies jumped dramatically in response to these deals - even those seemingly unrelated that are now becoming part of the war (commerce, marketplace, fintech and payments). The acquisition prices FB paid put most of them out of reach.
6) It was understandable from FB’s perspective. These deals were big bets with binary outcomes. $5-$10 billion here or there had negligible impact on the expected value of the outcome. Either it was gonna be huge or nothing. So, why not flex on the competitive set?
7) I will always believe the (seemingly) astronomical valuations paid in these deals were strategic and intentional; in these cases, the rising tide sunk Facebook’s most threatening ships.

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More from @NathanCHubbard

11 Dec
Okay team! Here's the #evermore tweet thread for tonight. Just gonna add on here. LFG.
Couple of things we already know - she wrote the last song on the album LAST WEEK. And the album is being released less than a week later. The music industry is going through a dizzying transformation. This is important. Also, I am nervous.
Her BF Joe Alwyn wrote three songs with her on this album (and two on the last). If he turns out to be Yoko Ono I am going to be irate.
Read 21 tweets
21 May
*inhales*
*whispers*

be healthily suspicious of the movement to WFH because it seems to be driven through the filter of cost savings in physical office, liability and “localization” of salaries instead of a genuine belief in what’s better overall for workers (even if it is)...
and while companies and leaders may indeed be having a moment of epiphany about ways of working, they are almost certainly having an epiphany about how to secure 2021’s bonus pool in parallel, so workers would be wise to challenge their leaders in the following three ways on WFH:
1) how will we invest in my mental health to counterbalance the downside of physical isolation and distance from human beings given we are chemically wired to be together with others
Read 5 tweets

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