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Rachael Meager (see pinned tweet for meme source!)

@economeager

11 Dec

So some very smart folks have asked about how we would apply the AMIP metric to studies of rare events. This kicked off a discussion of what robustness checks are really for, and I want to take that set of questions seriously in this thread.

I think robustness checks mainly (ought to) function to illuminate how variation in the data is being used for inference, and we should then be able to discuss whether we think this is a reasonable situation and adjust our confidence in the results.

The problem is not that there is SOME change to which our analyses are sensitive -- of course there is, they has to be. If your results aren't affected by ANY change you make to the analysis, something has gone horribly wrong with the procedure.

Read 24 tweets

Rachael Meager (see pinned tweet for meme source!)

@economeager

9 Dec

"average person eats 3 spiders a year" factoid actualy just statistical error. average person eats 0 spiders per year. Spiders Georg, who lives in cave & eats over 10,000 each day, is the AMIS. we've decided to show quantiles of the spider consumption distribution instead.

@averyflinders

This was my friend @averyflinders idea, cowriting credit where it is due!!! #amipmemes

tumblr deep cut, real OG online folks will recognize

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Rachael Meager (see pinned tweet for meme source!)

@economeager

8 Dec

https://twitter.com/Dunkin_Donuts_2/status/1336327637854085125

this meme absolutely nails the spirit of our paper and it’s my fav Arthur and Eames moment!!! I am truly blessed today

https://twitter.com/Dunkin_Donuts_2/status/1336327637854085125

Some of you thought i would put the “/“ in there, not on main folks

If you don’t get this comment I’m begging you to scroll on by it’s an inside joke

Read 4 tweets

Rachael Meager (see pinned tweet for meme source!)

@economeager

7 Dec

https://twitter.com/danielrock/status/1336069916391301121

😂😂😂😂😂

https://twitter.com/danielrock/status/1336069916391301121

This one is really fuckin good you guys

This is honestly like Christmas to me

Read 4 tweets

Rachael Meager (see pinned tweet for meme source!)

@economeager

2 Dec

Hello! Tamara Broderick, Ryan Giordano and I have a new working paper out!! It's called "An Automatic Finite-Sample Robustness Metric: Can Dropping a Little Data Change Conclusions?" arxiv.org/abs/2011.14999

Here comes the paper thread!!! Aaaaaah!!!

We propose a way to measure the dependence of research findings on the particular realisation of the sample. We find that several results from big papers in empirical micro can be overturned by dropping less than 1% of the data -- or even 1-10 points, even when samples are large.

Read 30 tweets

Rachael Meager (see pinned tweet for meme source!)

@economeager

1 Dec

Also the London Review of Books is better than the New Yorker send tweet.

1. we have Lauren Oyler, who do u have? Jia?? Sad.
2. we have a Nabokov bingo square so incendiary I'd get immediately permabanned if I tweeted a screenshot.
3. we have new hits from Anne Carson

I do love the New Yorker and 2 NYer articles - one about the Bostswanan diamond mines and one about the deep sea submarine - were 2 of the best things I read all year. but LRB is better and in your heart you know it.

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Rachael Meager (see pinned tweet for meme source!)

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More from @economeager

Rachael Meager (see pinned tweet for meme source!)

Rachael Meager (see pinned tweet for meme source!)

Rachael Meager (see pinned tweet for meme source!)

Rachael Meager (see pinned tweet for meme source!)

Rachael Meager (see pinned tweet for meme source!)

Rachael Meager (see pinned tweet for meme source!)

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