It's here! 🚨🚨🚨

/1

gov.uk/government/pub…
And the long-awaited criteria for the determination of goods at risk / not at risk of entering the EU market for GB- NI movements (we've been talking about this one for over a year!)

/2


assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
Derogation for SMEs on commercial processing which is part of the "at risk" criteria

/3 Image
But authorisation required to "bring goods into Northern Ireland for its sale to, or final use by, end-consumers located in the United Kingdom".

This is where extra paperwork comes in

/4
It's a one-off application and it might be the trusted trader programme that Gove was talking about (lots still to read).

Important to note that unlike the current trusted trade programme this authorisations isn't limited to large businesses.

/5
Seems that new businesses and non-VAT registered firms will also be able to apply.

This is one of the biggest drawbacks of the current trusted trader programme

/6
Very nice workaround it terms of export/exit declarations and the UCC.

/7
Will be interested to see the planned anti-avoidance provisions for NI-GB movements at some point.

The provisions on indirect movements are interesting - we were made aware of them last week so good to see a confirmation.

/8
Also a new scheme for "qualified" trader for NI-GB movements.

/9
And of course, music to my ears - how "at risk" criteria will work with rules of origin if we have a deal

/10 Image
Derogations for SPS certificates as expected earlier - mainly for supermarkets and their "trusted suppliers" while "the Government will not discriminate against smaller suppliers or between different companies in implementing these practical measures. "

/11
This of course was requested by the industry and various associations. Great to see.

/12 Image

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More from @AnnaJerzewska

13 Dec
Just as a reminder - without a freeze/ implementation period or some sort of derogation - no business on either side will be able to use the UK-EU FTA to avoid paying tariffs on 1 Jan even if we get one tomorrow.

It's already too late.

/1
Businesses simply won't have enough time to familiarise themselves with rules of origin, figure out whether their products meet them (larger companies have hundreds of SKUs) and understand what the certification requirements are.

/2
It is expected that companies would be able to self-certify origin under the UK-EU FTA but that is not always that straight forward and sometimes requires prior steps.

/3
Read 7 tweets
12 Dec
🚢This has been happening for the last few months: ships at anchor waiting, shipping lines cancelling orders and diverting, largest shipping lines refusing to accept new bookings

/1


ft.com/content/eb2105…
In the UK, this just the beginning - soon to be accompanied by the perfect Brexit storm.

/2
It was not the shock of the pandemic that sent shockwaves across the entire logistics industry but the rebound of trade in recent months.

/3
Read 5 tweets
9 Dec
With the PM in Brussels, here is another reminder. On the deal vs no deal. And borders.

We need a deal. It’s in everyone’s interest. It will reduce tariffs (perhaps even full tariff/quota-free) and offer a range of other simplifications. BUT everything will still change

/1
One albeit (over)simplified way of looking at it is 👇

You have a border and what happens behind it.

⏺️Border barriers (friction, formalities, tariffs) and
⏺️Behind the border measures (regulation, alignment, cooperation etc)

/2
On the border barriers front, a deal would remove tariffs.

That's pretty much it.

Plus perhaps some additional simplifications, derogations (maybe some on SPS stuff depending on how far both parties want to go).

/3
Read 11 tweets
9 Dec
And there we have it.

A trusted trader scheme for GB - NI movements to avoid tariffs. Exit declarations from NI to be done by collecting data from transport and ferry companies.

/1
On exit declarations, it's doable, the information will be there. I'm still not convinced that the UK Gov won't at some point need more info (i.e. that this is sustainable) but this is a compromise - no paperwork but some data collection.

/2
I'll wait for further details but it seems like the way the JC has dealt with the famous "at risk" category of goods was by going around it and putting in place a trusted trader programme?

More to follow once we hear from CDL/ see the release

/3
Read 4 tweets
8 Dec
This a crucial bit of info we've all been waiting for. Great to (finally) see some progress.

/1
Seems to cover all the important bits:
Goods at risk
BCPs and a range of SPS related issues
supplied to supermarkets and
state aid

/2
Most importantly perhaps, this 👇

/3
Read 4 tweets
7 Dec
This is really concerning. Two main problems remain

1⃣ Implementation of the Protocol itself
2⃣ Layering it with a deal if one emerges

/1
1⃣ Hopefully it's obvious how important it is for businesses to understand which goods will be subject to tariffs (the goods at risk question). However it's starting to be less and less relevant as time goes by

/2
Whatever the "at risk" logic will be companies will need to provide some sort of proof that their goods/consignments meet the criteria.

They will not be able to do so overnight.

/3
Read 8 tweets

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