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Simon Usherwood Profile picture
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11 Dec, 7 tweets, 2 min read
Right, I'm back from the market, so let's to illustrate the different kinds of deal on the table

1/
When the UK was a member of the EU there was lots of cooperation on many different areas

(This is also what we have right now, because of the transition period)

2/
The negotiations that are stuck right now are about a much more limited package of cooperation, mainly relating to trade (and fish)

3/
If there is no deal, then there's no preferential cooperation for the UK as a whole with the EU (this is what the PM calls an "Australian style deal")

4/
(In this case there would still be the Withdrawal Agt, which makes provisions on citizens rights and Northern Ireland, but nothing more general)

5/
An imperfect analogy, but hopefully captures that changes is coming in any case on 31 Dec, and that 'Australia' isn't a deal in any real sense

6/
Finally, don't @ me about my fruit choices

/end

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More from @Usherwood

Simon Usherwood Profile picture
10 Dec
The morning after the dinner before

If you'd like a very simple take-away of why this has gone belly-up (and bellies were much in focus last night), then focus on trust

1/ Image
The root cause of the major problems in these negotiations has been that neither side trusts the other all that much

2/
The UK political debate has long been coloured by the suspicion that there is some nefarious agenda behind European integration, aided by a more general distrust of grand visions

3/
Read 11 tweets
Simon Usherwood Profile picture
6 Dec
Your regular reminder that Brexit is going badly because the UK has still to decide what the purpose of leaving the EU is

1/
#EUref came about as piece of party mgt by Cameron, rather than as culmination of considered and structured debate about UK's place in the world

2/
Yes, we talked a lot (A LOT) about 'Europe' and the EU, but primarily as a function of lots of other things

A touchstone of dissent, if you will (h/t @PaulAdamTaggart)

3/
Read 15 tweets
Simon Usherwood Profile picture
18 Sep
What better way to tie up the week than with a run-through of pacta sunt servanda?

A short thread, with pictures

Thanks to @Cardwell_PJ & Therese O'Donnell @UniStrathclyde for their help on this (any errors will be mine)

1/
As a bit of context, PSS is a basis of customary international law, and a cornerstone of the Vienna Convention: without it, the whole treaty-making business really has no point at all

2/
It's important to highlight that PSS carries implications, not least that states are free to enter treaties and to act freely elsewhere, but it's on them to only enter into commitments they can keep

3/
Read 8 tweets
Simon Usherwood Profile picture
21 Aug
A quick summary of how @MichelBarnier & @DavidGHFrost have commented on progress in Future Relationship negotiations up to today

PDF: bit.ly/UshGraphic35

1/
By taking the public statements of the two, it's possible to map out where they see things standing

Barnier: bit.ly/EURounds
Frost: bit.ly/UKRounds

2/
Several points to note:
- The problem areas are the same they've always been (LPF, fish, governance and law enforcement)
- Round 6 was the first of the accelerated programme, so reason to make +ve sounds
- intermittent +ve sounds away from the big problems

3/
Read 6 tweets
Simon Usherwood Profile picture
21 Aug
So we're back to the basic conundrum of the UK position in the Future Relationship talks: what are they trying to achieve?

1/
The economics would seem to point to securing as much preservation of existing ties with the EU, but the politics pulls in the other direction (certainly for this government)

2/
HMG has always talked about wanting a deal, and as Barnier noted again today, it was the UK that made a lot back in June about accelerating and intensifying talks to help secure that

3/
Read 8 tweets
Simon Usherwood Profile picture
12 Aug
So yesterday I got canned for an interview because the presenter felt the Dublin Regulation was too complicated to get their head around (no names, no pack drill)

Let's see if we can cover the main points in the simplest form known to man: a short Twitter thread

1/
Key point 1: Dublin is about which state decides on asylum claims, not the standards for those claims. UK (like almost every state in world) accepts standards in the UN Refugee Convention. That has been constant (and will be so, even after transition ends)

2/
Key point 2: Dublin exists because asylum-seekers were bouncing around the EU: not good for anyone. Hence the notion that a decision by one EU member on your application would be a decision for all members

3/
Read 8 tweets

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