People on here, including, apparently, lurkers like @BarackObama, are confused about the 20th Century party realignment, and that has led them to a confused understanding of politics today. The myth is that LBJ signed Civil Rights and said, well, there goes the south /1
He may have said some version of that, but that's beside the point. In fact, the realignment goes back at least to the New Deal. In the '30s, the GOP was still the Party of Lincoln and Dems were the bigger racists, but the New Deal was very good for everybody. And so in 1936 /2
for the first time that we have a reliable record, a majority of Black voters went Democratic. Elite columnists thought it was absurd that Black voters could ever side with the legacy of the Confederacy which was still dominated at the congressional level by white supremacists./3
I recently interviewed James Morone, author of the new book Republican of Wrath, about this realignment, and if you have the time, he tells the full story here (title of this video is a bit off)
We don't have good enough data to know for sure, but it's actually possible that the first Democrat to win a majority of Black votes wasn't FDR but Woodrow Wilson, who was a racist and segregated the federal government.But Black voters have never had good choices on the ballot...
Wilson was better when it came to lifting everybody's material conditions than the Republican, so he won a lot of Black support, especially since Republicans weren't doing jack by then for civil rights, just coasting on Lincoln's reputation and taking the Black vote for granted
Sound familiar? Anyway, could be relevant.
No party has a permanent lock on anybody's vote. You have to win it every time.
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Real question that will help me engage with folks on here who I do think are coming from a good place: Why is a vote on the House floor for M4A considered so obviously better than other demands? What’s so useful about the floor? We already know who backs it and who doesn’t...
Ok I think I get it: people think the cosponsor list is fake but a vote would be real.
Sorry to say but that’s wrong: A vote on a bill that won’t pass the Senate is just as symbolic as the act of cosponsoring. They’re both posturing. So if you have leverage, get something real.
Biden could give everyone who had Covid Medicare by executive action. That could end up being 30 million people or more. They could try to extract a commitment from Pelosi to demand that in exchange for govt funding bills. Whatever. Real things are possible.
For people wondering why House Democratic leaders would be launching an attack on the Squad out of the gate, consider the math and the new power balance:
Dems will have a much smaller majority in 2021, maybe 8 or 9 seats. Think about what that means:/1 theintercept.com/2020/11/06/ele…
Dems gave @AOC 60 seconds at the convention and iirc the rest of the Squad nothing. Defund the police was a slogan that came from the protests. The Squad could vanish from the earth tomorrow and none of the centrist complaints about messaging would be assuaged.
Spanberger would have gotten the same attack ad. And she’s going to get it again in 2022. If she has something to actually run on to counter it, maybe she’ll be ok. Worth a shot, no?
That’s different than saying that any particular slogan is effective or not. The purpose of a slogan is to win mass support for your cause. If it’s working, it’s good, if it’s not, it’s not, and people need to be hard headed about that.
Glenn and I actually started out writing this Hunter article together, but he wanted to get deep into Burisma and media criticism and I wanted to focus on the China element, so we decided to write separate pieces. His piece was still in the edit process when all this blew up.
I was hopeful he’d be able to work out his differences on the piece with his editor and I’m still convinced that could have happened. This, as he says, has been brewing for a long time and was about more than just one story.
lol Cruz must figure he’s politically better off in the Senate minority when it comes to launching another presidential bid, happy to kneecap his vulnerable colleague to make that happen
To walk folks through the logic of how this politically benefits Cruz and other ambitious senators on the right, like this guy below, consider two worlds. One has Rs in the majority but Biden in the White House. That could produce a tough vote on some compromise bill every week
Obama taking a full month to nominate Garland was such an Obama move all around
My argument at the time was he should appoint himself and give them a chance to vote him out of the White House and on to the court.
No law against it. I wasn’t really being serious, though the idea had some merit. If they refused to hold hearings it might piss off enough partisan Obama supporters that they’d have bothered to vote