Alright gang, many of you know that I'm very for this district in North Carolina being made post-census. It fairly well encompasses my idea of Western North Carolina (though its by no means exclusive), so I made some maps of that for tonight #ElectionTwitter Image
Here's the recent Presidential election. Biden did well in Asheville and Boone in the district, and represented a dramatic increase from Clinton's 2016 share of the vote (next) (Note: all %s are in 2 party vote share) Image
These are first how Clinton did, and then the Dem vote percentage increase from 2016-2020. Biden did about 6 points better than Clinton, and increased margins across the board ImageImage
Roy Cooper, the governor, also was up for re-election this year, and he won by a fair amount, but only narrowly lost this area. Jackson County in the lightest shade of red was only just over 100 votes from flipping Image
Cooper was also up for re-election in 2016, and did slightly worse, then, but actually won Jackson County. His margins went up in the more urban parts of the district (namely Asheville, Hendersonville, Transylvania, and metro Boone) ImageImage
For sake of comparison, here's how much Cooper over-performed Biden and Clinton in each race. Only outperformed Biden by single digits, and Clinton double digits ImageImage

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More from @bluearrowMaps

13 Dec
The Shenandoah Valley (as defined by the VA department of tourism) is pretty Republican area, but Joe Biden managed to crack 40% in 2020. He mainly did well in the cities of Winchester, Lexington, Staunton, and Harrisonburg (more maps in thread) #ElectionTwitter Image
Biden did about 7 points better than Obama in 2012, improving in the cities, and Augusta and Rockingham counties, while doing worse in Rockbridge and some of the northern counties Image
Both of these performances beat Kerry’s 04 numbers, but not in Rockbridge. I believe this is the last year where Republicans cracked 30 point margins Presidentially Image
Read 5 tweets
12 Dec
Ohio was a painful result for Democrats this year, and to help show why and compare it to other results, here's my concept of urbanized Northern Ohio. Biden won 3 counties with large cities (Cuyahoga, Summit, and Lucas), and lost Mahoning and Lorain #ElectionTwitter
Losing Mahoning and Lorain are significant because Clinton narrowly carried these 2 counties in 2016, and they had been going for Democrats by double digits in years prior and other races. Notably, Sherrod Brown carried both by wide margins in 2018 (more maps below)
Here's how Clinton did for visual comparison. Essentially, most of the area got redder in 2020, and Biden did exactly 1 point worse in 2-party vote share
Read 11 tweets
4 Dec
So Kim Wyman is now the only statewide Republican on the Pacific, and she won by winning some normally Democratic areas of Washington (Thurston, Pierce, Snohomish, etc.), while Democrats won all of the other offices. Here's her performance vs Inslee's (1/4) #ElectionTwitter
This compares who got a higher percentage of the vote in each county. Inslee did better in 2 counties that Wyman won (Snohomish and Kitsap), as well as all of the counties that she lost, with Wyman doing better everywhere else (2/4)
Here are both of their individual maps for comparison. Inslee did better than his previous run, winning Skagit and Clark counties this time, and Wyman did similarly to her previous run, but losing Whatcom narrowly this go around (3/4)
Read 6 tweets
3 Dec
Some of you may have heard of Kentucky's Attorney General, Daniel Cameron, and how he likes to try to undo basically anything Andy Beshear does. So here's how we got him. He ran against state Sen. Will Schroder from Wilder, and won by a fair amount (1/3) #ElectionTwitter #kypol
Cameron was a football player at U of L, and Mitch McConnell's protege, so he had reasonable downstate clout. Schroder dominated in his/my home district (Campbell, Bracken, and Pendleton counties), and in the surrounding area, basically just winning KY-04 (2/3)
Essentially, it looks like it came down to Lexington and Louisville, and Cameron won both of those areas, so he got the nomination, then going on to beat former AG Greg Stumbo by like 15 points. So here we are, with this guy trying to endanger public health (3/3)
Read 4 tweets

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