Major announcement coming from Xi very soon. Will the need to improve China's image in the world propel a big decision from him?
Xi's announcement will be made amidst China's high carbon COVID recovery and when US-China relationship is at rock bottom. Ambitious or not, it will be the tone setting statement for the #ClimateAmbitionSummit.
You know sth will happen when Xi is the first to speak...
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As the dust settles for the #ClimateAmbitionSummit, here is my deeper dive on Xi’s announcement (thread)
1) China has now increased all 4 of its NDC headline targets. The peaking & carbon intensity targets are arguable the most important and have only received modest enhancement. The non FF target is politically easier, it sends a positive market signal, but can/should be higher.
2) Taken together, these enhancements should ensure peak emission between 2026&2030. This would require extremely steep carbon reduction post 2030 to deliver 2060 carbon neutrality. It also risks letting polluting industries grow further over the next 5 years.