The manufacture of collectables by pre-historic humans was the first step on the road to creating money.
@NickSzabo4's epic essay "Shelling Out" describes how and why this happened.
This illustrated thread summarises Nick's 12,000 words in 12 Tweets.👇
1/ Most hunter gatherers lived a precarious existence on the brink of starvation.
But we know from archaeological records that they made and collected jewellery.
The fact that early humans devoted their scarce resources to this seemingly frivolous activity merits exploration.
2/ Biologist J. M. Smith drew on game theory to describe the way humans evolve to propagate their genes.
Whilst individual humans might benefit from robbing the weak, cooperative tribes do better overall. Cooperation represents the "Nash Equilibrium" that leads to group survival
3/ But cooperation isn’t easy.
In small societies humans can reciprocate favours.
But after a certain point, we can’t keep track of who has given what to whom. People estimate value differently. Early favours are worth more than late ones.
These factors can lead to disputes
4/ By collecting items like teeth, flint, and shells, early humans found a solution.
Although trade initially occurred rarely, the exchange of collectables reduced the need for favour tracking.
Because they were durable they could also act as a kind of "starvation insurance".
5/ During hard times, collectables could be exchanged with foreign tribes for food.
Spot trades allowed tribes involved to benefit from greater:
1. abundance of meat 2. availability of meat at different times 3. nutritional variety 4. productivity through specialisation
6/ Collectables' durability also allowed for:
>Wealth to be transferred inter-generationally
>Dowries to be paid, allowing for inter-tribal marriage
>Pacification of hostile tribes by serving as an item of tribute
>Compensation payments that could dampen cycles of vengeance
7/ But not anything can become a collectable.
The item in question had to be:
1. Transportable – carriable and easy to hide, hence the popularity of jewellery. 2. Unforgeably costly – creating scarcity that constrained supply 3. Verifiable – appraisable by simple observations
8/ Archaeological evidence shows that societies all over the world used collectables with these qualities.
Examples include:
>Ostrich-egg beads – Kenya Rift Valley
>Mammoth ivory – Sungir
>Silver coils – Sumer
>Glass beads – Mali
>Wampum – North America
>Whales’ teeth – Fiji
9/ Gradually, as its trade value became better understood, people started to standardise jewellery to increase its fungibility.
Standardisation aided the transition to coinage, that began in Lydia around 700 BC.
Coins possessed collectables' desired attributes in purer form.
10/ Collectables served as an unprecedented technology for cooperation, allowing humans to become the most dominant species ever seen on the planet.
As the first secure forms of embodied value they served as a forerunner to today’s money.
Have you ever heard it said that wealthy countries should prioritise reducing #inequality over growing the economy?
The 2009 book #TheSpiritLevel makes perhaps the most influential argument for that position.
But it is badly flawed.
This thread explains why. 👇
1/9
#TheSpiritLevel argues that income inequality leads to a range of bad social outcomes concerning life expectancy, obesity, mental health, homicide and child mortality.
They draw on data from 23 of the world's 50 richest countries to show convincing-looking correlations 👇
2/9
But what about the missing 27?
The authors say some lacked data. But excluded countries like Korea and Czechia seem to have it in abundance.
Countries with pop <3m were left out "to avoid tax havens". But countries like Slovenia clearly can't be categorised in this way.
Lockdown Sceptics has published an excellent long-read by @MichaelYeadon3 in which he argues that we are living through a "False Positive Pseudo-Epidemic".
His logic can be applied to other "high case, low excess death" countries like the US.
Understanding energy is key to understanding human progress.
The Moral Case for Fossil Fuels by @AlexEpstein argues that the much-hated fossil fuel industry is dramatically improving our planet by making it a safer and richer place.
Here's a summary of his book in 7 Tweets.👇
Energy is fundamental to civilisation.
If our aim is to promote human flourishing, we need to maximise human access to energy.
Forcing energy companies to use inferior technologies makes energy less available and slows down economic development.
Wind and solar can be useful, but they are nowhere near able to meet the world's energy demands on their own.
Besides being expensive, the power they provide is intermittent. This necessitates the responsive use of coal/gas to provide the stable power that grids need.
The 20th Century saw the world monetary system transition from a gold standard to a fiat standard.
Gold Wars by Ferdinand Lips (recommended by @saifedean) tells the story of how Switzerland became the last country to abandon its currency's link to gold.
Thread 👇 1/6
Lips argues that the confidence gold backing inspired in CHF helped transform landlocked and resource-poor Switzerland into one of the world's most prosperous countries. Switzerland enjoyed the benefits of sound money, high savings, strong growth and low unemployment.
2/6
After the 1971 Nixon shock, CHF was the only world currency left with this direct gold link. As a bastion of sound money it posed a challenge to the international fiat system. Lips recounts the pressure to abandon the link placed on the Swiss by that system's supporters .
As we enter our next economic downturn, we are told to learn the lessons of the Great Depression.
Pundits urge governments to follow Roosevelt’s example by stimulating the economy to bring about a recovery.
Thread 👇
They blame Hoover’s “laissez faire” response to the crash of 1929 for the severity of the Great Depression.
In contrast, they claim Roosevelt turned the economy around through the bold programmes of The New Deal.
Yet the idea that Hoover adopted laissez faire policies is false. He instead embarked on a programme of unprecedented interventionism. His policies included:
>Running what, at the time, was the largest budget deficit in US peacetime history.