1/n: In the new decade, the fin-services sector will look beyond the current open banking ‘phase’ and towards a future of fintech enabled marketplaces and complete financial automation, where the traditional banking model is turned on its head and requires a dramatic rethink,
2/n: emphasizing:
1) Experience over Products;
2) Data over Assets;
3) Partnering over the build or buy;
4) Shared access over ownership.
3/n: FinTechs are now increasingly global, and threatening traditional banks by ushering in product-stack changes- from ‘un-bundling to re-bundling’, from ‘mono-line to multi-line’.
4/n: Incumbent Banks will recognize the value of the financial-cloud and speed up their digital transformation efforts to meet customer expectations derived from fintechs with new operating and business models.
5/n: In the medium term, transactional banking (i.e. manufacture white-label versions of specific products and services) will gain traction. Distributed Ledger, API banking, and AI will become critical building blocks for both banks and financial services providers —
6/n: triggering ‘the age of Invisible Banking’ and unleash a new paradigm — where fintechs are the infrastructure providers. However, consumer-ready AI remains much more limited. We will witness the emergence of “vertical banks”; They will dominate a segment by offering a small
7/n: number of world-class products that are hyper-focused on the segment’s needs. The onset of Collaborative AI makes it possible to synergize financial services, where the line between deposits and lending will be blurred, and Cash-flow-as-a-service will be a reality.
8/n: Fintech will become portable and ubiquitous and move to the background and centralize into one place where our money is managed for us.

In the next few years, some large fintech enabled marketplaces- curated with thousands of apps and APIs- will scale.
9/n: Automation will increase and data security will become paramount. Big tech companies will continue to slowly move into finance, and some large Fintech firms will be acquired.
10/n: The “move fast and break things” approach that disrupted the ad-tech industry is unlikely to work in financial services. More challengers and incumbents will partner, and a high level of regional variation in fintech disruption shall continue.
11/n: Disruption starts with unhappy customers, not technology. In the new decade, Human+Technology is the underlying theme. It is customers who are driving the disruption. New Fintech startups will enter markets not by stealing customers from incumbents, but by designing
12/n: solutions around a select few customer activities.

As market landscapes get increasingly complex, choosing the right abstraction layers the company sits at becomes more important. Good execution and solid business models will trump exotic technology.

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More from @Gaurav1105

14 Feb
Technology is reshaping the operating-model of financial institutions fundamentally. Some thoughts:

1/ Banking & credit are the lifeblood of capitalism, and Credit and Debt play a big role in driving demand and economic growth.
2/ The line between deposits and lending is becoming blurred as cash-flow is delivered “as a service”. Non-traditional data makes it possible to create new products and serve new customer categories and markets.
3/ Deposit accounts are no longer the locus of control for customers as the center of the retail customer experience shifts to financial-management platforms, reducing interaction points between large banks and customers.
Read 10 tweets
1 Jan
Some learnings at the intersection of banking, credit, & tech.

1) Banking & credit are the lifeblood of capitalism.

2) The most conservative lender is only one severe credit cycle away from failure.

3) Banks fail, Sovereigns default. Hundreds of banks fail every 10+ years.
4) Be wary of banks that obsess overgrowth. Growth at an exceptional rate is a red flag in banking.

5) Government (Fiat) money ≠ Sound money.

6) Human civilization flourishes in times and places where sound money is widely adopted.

7) Bitcoin is a monetary system.
8) Lending is simple but it’s not easy – it’s a business.

9) Credit is older than money & Fintech.

10) The only way banks get in trouble is because of their bad loans.

11) The only good loan is the one that gets paid back.
Read 9 tweets
1 Sep 19
I've been studying China 🇨🇳 for almost a decade now.
Fascinated by its ancient history, cultural transformation, hi-tech prowess, neo-capitalism, wealth creation, debt crisis, & global domination.

Here're some good documentaries👇🏼that explain China's past, present, and future
1) New Money: The Greatest Wealth Creation Event in History (2019)


2) The People's Republic of The Future


3) Too Big For China | Startups - Full Documentary 2018
4) China A Century of Revolution 1976 1994


5) History of Hong Kong - From British Colony to SAR of China


6) China Does Capitalism Better Than America
Read 7 tweets
4 Aug 19
1/n: “Everything gains or loses from volatility. Fragility is what loses from volatility and uncertainty.”

Had 4-5 uninterrupted flight hours this Friday. Re-read #Antifragile by @nntaleb. So here’re some nuggets/quotes/insights from one of my favorite books. #TweetThread 👇🏼
2: Some things seem to improve if they are placed in environments of volatility and unpredictability. ‘Antifragile’ analyzes why this is the case. It suggests that this quality has been vital for the progress of human civilization since ancient times.
3: Taleb describes that something is antifragile when it gets better with chaos, disorder, and time whereas anything fragile hates volatility.

Nature is the ultimate example of something antifragile as it can adapt and gets stronger with difficult times.
Read 48 tweets
21 Jul 19
1) Re-read ‘the lessons of history’ by Will and Ariel Durant. Some insights/quotes/extracts below

Our knowledge of any past event is incomplete. Most history is guessing and the rest is prejudice. Other sciences tell us how we might behave. History tells us how we have behaved.
2) History is the map of human character. To know how the man will act you must know how man has acted. The laws of biology are the fundamental lessons of history. Human nature has largely been unchanged throughout history – the means change, but the motives remain the same.
3) The individual instincts were hardwired into us by evolution. They are millions of years old. The social instincts are much younger and were learned over the last 70,000 years. Inequality among humans is inherent in the unequal distribution of inborn ability.
Read 35 tweets
7 Jul 19
Re-read "Deep-Work" last nite. Some learnings/notes/extracts:

1) Ability to master hard things quickly and produce high quality work quickly are two vital characteristics in order to succeed. “If you don’t produce, you won’t thrive—no matter how skilled or talented you are.”
2) Those who can work intelligently with machines, those with access to capital and those who are the best at what they do will vastly outperform others – world becoming more ‘winner take all’
3) Deep work goes hand in hand with awareness and attention which are strongly correlated with happiness. The clarity for what matters gives clarity into what doesn’t.
Read 21 tweets

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