This isn't sexy stuff. None of these people are influencers. They are your neighbors, colleagues, friends and family.
They're all trying to make sense of this moment in America. I'll bet you are, too.
To that end—agree or disagree with these folks—you should hear them out.
Meet Chip. He's a socially liberal and fiscally conservative "hippie" who says "It’s [a] pity we can’t be more kind to each other."
Chip voted Trump despite his “lack of empathy for the Covid issue and his nonstop penchant for idiotic rhetoric." The consequence? Family breakage.
Meet Andrea. She took issue w/ her peers grumbling about Biden: "I know that many black people are hoping for radical change. I want that too, but I believe there is so much work to be done... Joe Biden as president is the beginning of that work.”
Is she optimistic? Not exactly.
Meet Jess. He's a Republican who voted third-party in 2016, and is perplexed by how his fellow Mormons have embraced Trump these last 4 years.
He voted Biden with hopes of a return to normalcy. But he's worried that Dems will use their power to further escalate the culture wars.
Meet Ken. He says Trump is “not admirable as a person" and we need “a leader on one side or the other who can reconcile the polarization and appeal to the constructive impulses of people on each side, red and blue"
Yet he voted for Trump b/c "Democrats have gone completely nuts"
Meet Brenda. She voted Biden because Trump’s “immoral” behavior “goes against everything our parents taught us."
And yet...her sister voted Trump. The two are talking it out. “It makes me sad to see so many families torn apart by politics. I’m determined it won’t happen to mine"
Meet Li-Hsiang. He has struggled with his evangelical parents' loyalty to Trump because they believe "with Democrats in power, evangelicals will be unable to profess their beliefs and be driven from society.”
He voted Biden, and sees a sharp generational divide in the church.
Meet Louis. Like many ppl I've met, he blames the left for his Trump vote: "There is a frightening, religious-like self-assurance... that they have the truth by the tail and are endowed by God with the obligation to stuff their wisdom down the unwilling throats of non-believers."
Meet Charlie, a singular character in this series. He told me: "The Democratic Party that I knew and supported for 40 years was on the side of the working people, but that just isn’t true now, either legislatively or culturally.”
Meet Cynthia. She's one of many Trump voters who told me the election was stolen: “If this election fraud is not righted, I fear that we as a nation are done… I think we could be headed to another Civil War and I am not an alarmist.”
What Civil War would look like? Her reply:
Meet Brady. He's estranged from his family and his conservative hometown in Texas -- over politics, over coming out of the closet -- and says attempts to reconcile have actually made things worse.
"I guess I just think it’s always going to be like this," he told me.
Meet Steven. He hammered the institutional failures of both parties and questioned the basis on which we choose leaders.
“How is it that the entire chain of command of our nuclear arsenal must pass rigorous security clearances except the person with their finger on the trigger?”
Meet Diana. She wrote me in July, explained she'd left the GOP. “I voted for Trump and thoroughly regret my decision."
Last week, she wrote again. “Trump is an asshole. I voted for him because I believe in second chances and I believe he represented what people want in America."
Meet Duane. Left the top of the ticket blank. Said something that stuck with me, regarding a historical trend of polarization rising as military service/kinship declines: “It didn’t matter if you were a big businessman or a janitor, if you had served you recognized the other man"
Meet Kevin. He offered some nuanced observations re: Democrats and the black electorate, with an implicit response to Trump's infamous "What do you have to lose?" line
"I don’t expect Democrats to make things better for Black people but I know things could be worse," he told me.
Meet Lucy. She's a Dem activist in the Lehigh Valley and did lots of street protesting against Trump. Her view of the MAGA movement?
“Viewed from further back, Trumpism looks like a hatefest, but close up, it felt like a lovefest. Trump was feeding them something they needed."
Meet Sean. He was among many to predict a coming civil conflict. He was also one of many Rs buying the mass-voter-fraud narrative.
When I challenged his assertions, his response spoke to a broader crisis re: our information systems and lack of trust in the institution of media.
Meet Aime. She told me of our current political impasse, "The God’s honest truth is that when Americans are looking toward authoritarianism or socialism to fix their problems, we have to admit the center has failed."
She also spotted some light at the end of the 2024 tunnel.
Meet Michael. He voted for POTUS, but made a compelling (if unprovable) argument:
"If Trump had put on a mask in April and begun talking just a bit more like Churchill (this is tough, but we are gonna kick this pandemic’s ass) then he would’ve won this election in a landslide."
Meet Ken. He pastors an evangelical church, voted for Don Blankenship (!) to avoid compromising his values, and told me he's been disturbed to learn about the news diets of his parishioners.
"I was hearing people say things like: ‘I think our country is headed for a civil war'"
Finally, meet Grazie. She wrote me in January: “Hispanics believe in family (the classic kind), country, God, order, and freedom to prosper. Democrats have alienated them with their identity politics, their anti-religious bias..."
She says "the real country" will turn on Biden.
Thus concludes my longest-ever Twitter thread. Thanks for reading.
I hoped reporting this series would make me more confident in America. It didn't. As I wrote: "I’m not sure reconciliation is possible. Some bonds of affection can never be unbroken."
Here's to hoping I'm wrong.
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9 of 10 Trump voters I’ve talked to believe mass voter fraud occurred.
8 of those 9 cite the protracted counting and Biden’s “comeback” after Trump led Tues night.
Again: Legislatures in MI/WI/PA failed America by not allowing pre-processing. This madness could’ve been avoided.
There was no reason—none—to deny clerks the ability to process ballots early. Other red states allow it. Makes perfect sense re: efficiency AND accuracy (less rush, fewer mistakes.)
But Rs there decided to indulge Trump’s war on mail voting. The consequences have been ruinous.
Some credit goes to Lee Chatfield, the Republican House speaker in Michigan, who refused to allow pre-processing—and now admits that was a mistake.
Will Republican leaders in other states follow suit? Hopefully. But I fear a tremendous amount of damage is already done.
John Kasich's campaign manager, Beth Hansen, picks Dems to win the House and Senate.... Biden to win the popular vote by 8 million.... and Biden to win the Electoral College w/ 278 EVs. Total turnout: 148 million.
Jeb Bush's campaign manager, Danny Diaz, picks Dems to win the House and Rs to win the Senate.... Biden to win the popular vote by 6 million.... and Trump to win the Electoral College w/ 278 EVs. Total turnout: 150 million +
Funny thing about the streak? Nobody here knew about it.
"I’ve never felt that people around here are real fluid in their political beliefs," said Dale Thule. "Maybe the swings back & forth are on account of people taking turns getting so frustrated that they don’t vote at all.”
I asked Kenneth Tiger (right), a Republican-turned-independent-turned-Democrat, how he thought Valencia County would vote this fall.
“Whatever happens, it’s not going to be good. I’ve already lost 30 friends in the past four years. It’s going to get worse."
The answer to court-packing Q is “Look, that isn’t our decision to make. Congress would need to pass legislation to expand the Supreme Court, and there’s no use speculating on that possibility when we’ll face immediate challenges on day one of a Biden adminstration.”
Not hard.
Of course, I’d want to hammer that answer with a thousand follow-ups, because this isn’t just another silly hypothetical exercise.
But that’s not the point. The point is, Biden & Harris have not provided a ready-made answer on this obvious question, which is really bewildering.
Btw... I’m pressing congressional D on this not-so-hypothetical question.
Here’s what Elissa Slotkin told me:
“That’s pretty reactionary... I would rather we just handle this like adults and keep the court the same size but allow the next president to decide who the nominee is”
Frank Luntz focus group, asks for one word to describe Pence: "robot... presidential... even-keeled...presidential...bland...regressive....professional...pathetic....calm....typical politician....comfortable....no emotion"
Frank Luntz focus group, asks for one word to describe Harris: "evasive...nervous...shifting blame...caring....snarky....too rehearsed....nervous....evasive....abrasive....unsteady....rigid....unpresidential"
to those asking - 9 of these 13 undecided voters are men. that said, not a clear gender divide here in their views of the candidates.