KERALA LOCAL BODY ELECTIONS

Counting is on 16 December.

Kerala's results for BJP will give sleepless nights for the conjoined Congress-Communist twins.

How?

1. Like last time, RSS - which is the strongest in Kerala - played a key role on the ground

1/4
2. Good work at Booth level work, focus on critical mass for candidates, issue based approach for wards

3. Last time, BJP ate into Congress bastions, this time it will ALSO eat into Communist bastions

4. BJP has fielded 500 Xs and 112 Muslim candidates, a clear ward strategy
5. The struggles led by @surendranbjp have brought unexpected support from women who came to the streets to protest against the corrupt Communist government.

This is a clear signal of change in BJP's favour.
In 2015, NDA polled 13.28% of votes

Gram Panchayat - 933/15962 (5.85%)
Block Panchayat - 21/2076 (1%)
District Panchayat - 3/331 (1%)
Municipalities - 236/3122 (7.56%)
Corporations - 51/414 (12.32%)

Will see a huge surge in numbers this time

Well done @surendranbjp

@JPNadda

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More from @BaluSreevidya

15 Dec
RAJINIKANTH's POLITICS

I have tried to answer many questions individually through DM, but looks like it's better to do a thread and post it publicly.

This thread only looks at TN Politics through Rajini's entry angle. Will do a detailed post on the whole of TN pitch later.
Rajini's political entry can be analysed from 4 angles.

1. Why is he in Politics?
2. What will be his strengths?
3. How will the pitch change?
4. What will be his challenges?

Thread 1 - Why is Rajini in Politics and What are his strengths?
1. Why is Rajini in politics?

24 years ago, when he first considered politics, TN was a nasty scene with both Dravidian parties neck deep in corruption.

That was the first time Rajini openly participated in the political process, voicing against the corrupt regime of JJ.
Read 24 tweets
9 Dec
KERALA POLITICS and BJP's Role.

For those who are interested in Kerala politics, specifically BJP's stance and chances, I am transcribing a Youtube Q&A with @surendranbjp BJP president, Kerala.

A vibrant and savvy politician, KS is the leader Kerala BJP supporters asked for.
He is an extremely sharp strategist who leads from the front - someone who sees the dance from the balcony and also perfects nuances on the floor.

This interview reflects his acumen, clarity of thoughts and candid approach to politics. A no-nonsense leader, he says a lot.
1. How is BJP aligning with RSS in Kerala?

BJP and RSS relationship is that of ideology and political outfit (I have discussed this in detail in a previous thread and KS's view supports my points) and is strong currently.

Covid relief work has brought us even closer.
Read 36 tweets
8 Dec
A few years ago, I heard a 27 year old young father and husband dying of heart-attack due to stress from work.

One of the key reforms I have recommended in the organised corporate sector is the Health and Wellbeing of employees.

~ 1/6
Workload setting, workflow setting, targets and KPIs should all be comparable to developed countries.

Indian private sector employee does 5 times the work of their corresponding employee in a developed market.

Yet while immigrating, India is not a 'comparable labour market'
Workload, flexibility of work hours, 5 days a week instead of 6 or 5.5 days, no 24 hour access to employees over mobile phones, 8 hour workday or shifts - there is so much to regulate.

It's a slog scenario in stark contrast with public sector where employees are protected.
Read 6 tweets
29 Nov
Why is BJP pushing so hard for GHMC?

As we all know, Dubakka victory is a surprise encouragement. But is that why the heavyweights have descended there?

Here are my views:

~ BJP has exposed the nexus between KCR and AIMIM
~ With a distant second representation in the GHMC, AIMIM has already created a strong politico-religious finance system to fund its activities that can go well beyond Hyderabad/Bhagya Nagar.

~ It has enough funding to expand AIMIM into becoming the new Congress.
~ What it does now is consolidating the hitherto Congress bloc vote.

~ AIMIM and Congress have got Rohingyas into Hyderabad in the exact way Pakistani muslims were brought to Kashmir and muslims from Jordan/ Morocco to Gaza. We know what that means.

Why is Hyderabad targeted?
Read 8 tweets
28 Nov
Kolahala Srinivas keeps raising this question of why @AmitShah did not endorse NDA alliance publicly despite EPS and OPS announcing it in the govt function.

He seems to speculate that @BJP4TamilNadu is waiting for Rajnikant to enter politics.

I disagree.

1/4
I had mentioned in my tweet prior to Amit Shah's visit that
he will NOT:

~ meet any actor
~ declare alliances/ allies

I had said that these were @JPNadda 's job and Shah will not undermine his Party President's role by openly declaring an alliance.
People should stop seeing Shah as BJP president. Nadda is well capable of managing this portfolio.

I had written a few months ago in Malayalam about how TN politics will be a bipolar one.

AIADMK is needed at the centre for the passing of difficult bills.
Read 4 tweets
27 Nov
Just marking my observations here. Careful read.

A few days ago, there was severe weather warning in the pacific region about huge water swell in the ocean.

Later there was warning of #NivarCyclone in the NE Indian Ocean, and Nivar swept across as predicted.
Over the last couple of days, over 120 whales and dolphins stranded on some New Zealand islands dead. Many had wounds as if from a blast.

Who did the underwater explosion if any, in deep ocean, what was the test?
In 2004, my husband and I were at the Marina beach in Madras on the eve of Tsunami. We saw a red Sumo circling around the beach and a group of people surveying the area.

We felt suspicious and alerted the Police.

Who were they? What were they doing hours before the Tsunami?
Read 7 tweets

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