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Noah Smith 🐇 Profile picture
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14 Dec, 5 tweets, 2 min read
In which Nobel Prize winner Angus Deaton claims that there has never been an experiment on either gravity or aspirin.
Source: rationallyspeakingpodcast.org/show/episode-2…
Pubmed results for "aspirin challenge:

pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/?term=aspirin+…
Wikipedia page for "Cavendish Experiment":

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cavendish…
In this post, I discuss the "Oh, come on" approach toward poverty reduction, and why evidence beats intuition.

noahpinion.substack.com/p/rcts-vs-intu…

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More from @Noahpinion

Noah Smith 🐇 Profile picture
16 Dec
1/Someone on Twitter asked me what my top three priorities to boost American material prosperity would be.

So I wrote a @bopinion post about it.

They are:
1. National health insurance
2. Cheap housing
3. Sectoral bargaining for stronger unions

bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
2/There are a lot of big policy ideas floating around this country. All of them on the political left, I should note.

Universal basic income, a federal $15 minimum wage, a job guarantee, child benefits, free college...

So why did I pick these three?
3/Let's start with national health insurance.

Our health care system is just a total mess. It's a source of terror, of catastrophe, of massive expense. It's hideously inefficient. It lags behind all the other rich countries.

commonwealthfund.org/publications/i…
Read 15 tweets
Noah Smith 🐇 Profile picture
15 Dec
My three top policy priorities for restoring the middle class would be:

1. National health insurance (lower Medicare age to 0)

2. Cheaper housing (various policies)

3. Sectoral wage bargaining

bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
@jdcmedlock what u think?
With health security, cheaper health care, cheap housing, and higher wages, Americans wouldn't have ALL their economic problems solved, but they'd breathe a hell of a lot easier.
Read 4 tweets
Noah Smith 🐇 Profile picture
15 Dec
Me: Countries should all lay down their arms and live in peace. Arms races will destroy us all.

Also me: Why can't we have a gigantic supersonic nuclear bomber like the Russians have? Image
And stop telling me the B-1 is our version of this plane...the B-1 is much smaller and slower.

news.yahoo.com/bomber-deathma…
The real awesome superbomber was the XB-70, which we didn't put into mass production, but which was much awesomer and better than any of the bombers that ever did get used, including the TU-160 which came out much later.

wired.com/2010/12/meet-t… Image
Read 4 tweets
Noah Smith 🐇 Profile picture
12 Dec
1/OK, so here's a thread about why I'm so excited about the revolution in solar+storage technology!

Energy tech might be uniquely capable of boosting PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH -- something other recent innovations haven't always been able to do!

noahpinion.substack.com/p/why-im-so-ex…
2/Remember when "the future" looked like this?
3/Around 1973, "the future" changed. We stopped innovating in physical technology ("atoms"), and started innovating in digital technology ("bits").

medium.com/@skanda_shastr…
Read 22 tweets
Noah Smith 🐇 Profile picture
11 Dec
Overly literal translations of Tokyo loop line train station names:

East Capital
Godfield
Autumn Leaf Prairie
O Useless Neighborhood
Overfield
Nightingale Valley
Sunset Village
West Sunset Village
Field's Edge
Chess Piece Mixture
Nest Duck
Big Mound
Pond Bag
White Eye
More overly literal translations of Tokyo loop line train station names:

High Field Horse-Riding Ground
New Hotel
Trees for Generations
Original Hotel
Eyeblack
50 Meter Field
Large Promontory
Quality River
Have Fun Town
Newbridge
Beach Tree Town
Field Town
And the train line itself is overly literally translated as Hand-of-the-Mountain (which sounds way cooler than "foothills")...
Read 5 tweets
Noah Smith 🐇 Profile picture
11 Dec
1/Here's a thread of my latest blog post, on Japanese homogeneity.

Lots of people say Japan is a "homogeneous society". But how homogeneous is it really?

noahpinion.substack.com/p/how-homogene…
2/Lots of people will tell you that Japan is "98% Japanese".

But what does that mean?

That's not a measure of ethnicity. It's a measure of NATIONALITY. It just means 98% of people living in Japan are Japanese CITIZENS.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ethnic_gr…
3/I mean, this number for America is 93.3%!

If someone tells you "98% of people in Japan are Japanese", it's just like saying "93.3% of people in America are American"!

kff.org/other/state-in…
Read 26 tweets

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