1/Here's a thread of my latest blog post, on Japanese homogeneity.

Lots of people say Japan is a "homogeneous society". But how homogeneous is it really?

noahpinion.substack.com/p/how-homogene…
2/Lots of people will tell you that Japan is "98% Japanese".

But what does that mean?

That's not a measure of ethnicity. It's a measure of NATIONALITY. It just means 98% of people living in Japan are Japanese CITIZENS.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ethnic_gr…
3/I mean, this number for America is 93.3%!

If someone tells you "98% of people in Japan are Japanese", it's just like saying "93.3% of people in America are American"!

kff.org/other/state-in…
4/So how many people in Japan are ETHNICALLY Japanese.

First of all, no one really knows what that means, but more importantly, THE JAPANESE GOVERNMENT DOES NOT KEEP TRACK of the ethnicity of people living in Japan.

worldpopulationreview.com/countries/japa…
5/This is the same as France, actually.

brookings.edu/articles/race-…
6/So OK, there is some concept of a "Japanese" ethnicity, sometimes called "Yamato".

But Japanese people generally conflate "Yamato" with Japanese nationality, so these concepts are muddled...
7/What percent of people in Japan are descended from people who ethnically self-identified as "Japanese" or "Yamato", as opposed to a minority group?

It's hard to tell; various sources quote 90% as the figure.

8/That's still fairly homogeneous, but it doesn't count mixed-race people who identify as "Japanese" or "Yamato" and not as members of their minority ancestry...

And 90% is about the % of white Americans in 1950.
9/Also, it's worth noting that Japanese homogeneity is highly inhomogeneous (heh).

In the city of Tokyo, for example, 1 out of 8 young people wasn't born in Japan -- and that doesn't even include people who are citizens but ethnic minorities!

japantimes.co.jp/news/2018/01/1…
10/Now OK. As a Westerner, you might go to Japan and think "Uhh, most people look Asian, this is pretty homogeneous."

In fact, before COVID, you were probably looking at a bunch of Chinese tourists!

nippon.com/en/japan-data/…
11/To a Westerner, ethnic differences between Japanese, Korean, and Chinese people (or Japanese-Brazilians) might not seem like big differences.

But to many people in those countries, those are BIG differences.

theguardian.com/world/2014/dec…
12/Imagine going to England and shrugging at discrimination against Polish people, and saying "Well, you're all just a bunch of Europeans!"... 🤪
13/But anyway, what IS true about Japan is that many leaders want to PROMOTE homogeneity, in the form of a unified national identity.

In the words of politician Taro Aso: “one nation, one civilization, one language, one culture and one race”.

theguardian.com/world/2007/mar…
14/And over time, Japan does tend to become more homogeneous.

The most famous example is that of the Zainichi Koreans, who are blending into the Japanese populace via naturalization and intermarriage.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Koreans_i…
15/But this homogeneity-via-nationalism, ignoring differences in ancestry, inevitably runs into a problem when Japanese people are very visually distinctive. As many increasingly are, thanks to immigration from Europe, Africa, India, etc.
16/For example, if this politician told you she was "Japanese", you probably wouldn't think about her ancestry (her dad is from Taiwan). Nor would most Japanese people.
17/And this businessman is a Japanese citizen, but his ancestors are from Korea. Again, if you didn't know, you would likely have little trouble accepting him as "Japanese".
18/But when this woman -- a Japanese citizen with a Black American dad -- won the Miss Universe pageant, it prompted a racist backlash, and a big online debate about who was really Japanese.
19/To learn about the experiences of half-Japanese people in Japan, I recommend this documentary:

hafufilm.com/en/
20/Fortunately, for now, the racists seem to be losing; another beauty queen with one Indian parent faced much less of a backlash in 2016.

firstpost.com/entertainment/…
21/And Japan is making big progress in cracking down harshly on racist hate groups.

japantimes.co.jp/news/2019/12/1…
22/So to sum up: Japan is not an island of racial purity. Instead, it is a fairly normal rich country, dealing with fairly normal issues of immigration, diversity, minority rights, racism, and nationhood.
23/A lot of the debates about these issues look pretty similar to what you'd see in Europe -- or even the U.S.

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
24/It's true that Japan was a bit later than Europe to get on the immigration train. It didn't really open up until 2013. But now it's catching up, and undergoing much the same changes and challenges.
25/And although Japan's leaders WANT to create homogeneity through national identity and assimilation, their policies for doing so look much gentler than, say, Denmark's.

qz.com/1320234/denmar…
26/It's not clear how immigration will change Japan -- how Japanese identities will change, who will be thought of as a minority, etc.

But Japan is not the island of xenophobic racial purity that many Westerners imagine.

That is fantasy.

noahpinion.substack.com/p/how-homogene…

(end)

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More from @Noahpinion

12 Dec
1/OK, so here's a thread about why I'm so excited about the revolution in solar+storage technology!

Energy tech might be uniquely capable of boosting PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH -- something other recent innovations haven't always been able to do!

noahpinion.substack.com/p/why-im-so-ex…
2/Remember when "the future" looked like this?
3/Around 1973, "the future" changed. We stopped innovating in physical technology ("atoms"), and started innovating in digital technology ("bits").

medium.com/@skanda_shastr…
Read 22 tweets
11 Dec
Overly literal translations of Tokyo loop line train station names:

East Capital
Godfield
Autumn Leaf Prairie
O Useless Neighborhood
Overfield
Nightingale Valley
Sunset Village
West Sunset Village
Field's Edge
Chess Piece Mixture
Nest Duck
Big Mound
Pond Bag
White Eye
More overly literal translations of Tokyo loop line train station names:

High Field Horse-Riding Ground
New Hotel
Trees for Generations
Original Hotel
Eyeblack
50 Meter Field
Large Promontory
Quality River
Have Fun Town
Newbridge
Beach Tree Town
Field Town
And the train line itself is overly literally translated as Hand-of-the-Mountain (which sounds way cooler than "foothills")...
Read 5 tweets
9 Dec
1/Today's @bopinion post is about technology and inequality.

Many people just sort of assume that new technology will exacerbate inequality. But what if it does the opposite?

bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
2/In the 80s, 90s, and 00s, the big fear was that computerization would lead to inequality, because some people would have the skills to use computers, and others wouldn't.

But if any of that did happen, it was over by the 1990s.

davidcard.berkeley.edu/papers/skill-t…
3/Nowadays the big fear is that AI/automation/robots will replace human workers. Even if robots don't actually take your job, maybe they'll reduce your wages?

pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdf/10.125…
Read 7 tweets
8 Dec
1/OK, here's a thread of my latest blog post, in which I debunk an op-ed by Stephen Moore and Casey Mulligan claiming that Pandemic UI killed millions of jobs.

In fact, Pandemic UI didn't kill jobs.

noahpinion.substack.com/p/no-pandemic-…
2/It's kind of goofy to have to debunk each of these bad arguments as they come up, because guys like Mulligan and Moore will just never, ever stop coming with them.

It's their job AND their life's calling to write bad arguments claiming that activist government kills jobs.
3/OK, anyway, on to Pandemic UI. That was the $600/week benefit that unemployed Americans got from April through July of 2020.

We have evidence that it decreased poverty (bfi.uchicago.edu/wp-content/upl…)

and boosted consumption
(jpmorganchase.com/institute/rese…)
Read 17 tweets
6 Dec
Look at these two charts: One for energy production, the other for energy storage.

Something big is changing in the world. And I'm not just talking about climate change, either.

For the first time in half a century, humanity is about to get a cheaper form of energy.
Source for the first chart:

ourworldindata.org/cheap-renewabl…
Source for the second chart:

nature.com/articles/nener…
Read 5 tweets
6 Dec
1/OK, here's a thread of my latest Noahpinion blog post.

Why macroeconomic policy discussions have become less theoretical and less pro-austerity since the Great Recession:

noahpinion.substack.com/p/the-new-macr…
2/Back in 2009-13, a fair amount of the fiscal policy discussion was based on theory.

For example, a few top economists invoked the theory of Ricardian Equivalence as a reason stimulus couldn't work (they were wrong):

bradford-delong.com/2012/01/depart…

delong.typepad.com/sdj/2009/04/th…
3/Back in 2013 the Bank of England even invited me to give a talk about why DSGE models weren't useful.

Things got...interesting. The Swedish central bankers were not happy with my arguments, and the BoE people stepped in to defend me... ;-)

noahpinionblog.blogspot.com/2013/05/what-c…
Read 20 tweets

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