MAYBE IT’S THE COLD, the impending wintry mix that’s bearing down on Washington. Maybe it’s because we’re about to leave 2020 -- that wretched, disgusting year -- in the rear view.
WHO KNOWS WHAT EXACTLY PROMPTED THIS, but reality is beginning to intrude in Washington.
REALITY 1) @JOEBIDEN is going to be the president. This was obvious to most breathing, thinking human beings with a pulse, but many Republican members of Congress were willfully blind to it.
@JoeBiden BUT A FEW OF THEM BEGAN JOINING THE REST OF US on Planet Earth on Monday. @SenThomTillis called BIDEN the “presumptive president.” @LindseyGrahamSC -- who was calling around to state election officials a few weeks ago -- said “it’s a very, very narrow path for the president."
@JoeBiden@SenThomTillis@LindseyGrahamSC SEN. ROY BLUNT (R-Mo.), the chair of the inauguration, said: “We’ll deal with Vice President Biden as the president-elect. The president continues obviously to have all the options he has available to him, but the electoral vote today was significant.”
@JoeBiden@SenThomTillis@LindseyGrahamSC RUSSIAN PRESIDENT VLADIMIR PUTIN took it further than most Republicans, straight up congratulating BIDEN after a month of saying he was waiting for the process to play out.
REALITY 2) It seems painfully obvious to nearly everyone on Capitol Hill that a Covid relief deal is at hand -- should the leaders want it. This deal would include a mix of a renewal of the PPP, vaccine money, rental assistance, unemployment benefits & school $.
SENATE MINORITY LEADER CHUCK >@SenSchumer and @SpeakerPelosi said they were for state and local funding, but declined to draw a bright red line -- as they had before. @senatemajldr did not even mention liability overhaul in his floor remarks.
State/local and liability are not attainable at the moment. Those 2 pieces are clearly falling away. Now the question becomes: Do the 2 sides have the courage, desire & political will to get this done? Scary thing is if they don’t get it done this month, it might never get done.
REALITY 3) THIS COVID-OMNIBUS COMBO can get real messy real quickly. If they release the omnibus bill today -- that’s Tuesday -- maybe it can make it to the House floor Thursday.
Floor consideration in the Senate by Friday -- the deadline -- seems tough, since all senators would need to consent for a quick debate and vote.
If Congress needs a short-term stopgap, then maybe the Senate would stay in for the weekend to get it done. In that scenario, would they give themselves longer to try to reach a Covid deal? Could the government shut down?
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PLAYBOOK: COVID RELIEF … ON TUESDAY NIGHT, the administration offered PELOSI and Senate Minority Leader CHUCK SCHUMER a $916 BILLION Covid relief bill. The bill is broadly similar to the bipartisan “908 coalition” package:
It includes $160 billion for state and local, $150 billion for direct checks ($600 per person), $320 billion for the Paycheck Protection Program, $30 billion for airlines and $16 billion for vaccine and testing. There are no enhanced unemployment benefits -- big problem
>@senatemajldr and @GOPLeader were read into @stevenmnuchin1's offer, and MCCARTHY voiced support for it Tuesday evening. MCCONNELL earlier Tuesday offered to drop state and local and liability -- the big sticking points -- to try to get a deal.
@JoeBiden's decision to put @RepMarciaFudge in the Cabinet as HUD secy gives @SpeakerPelosi a 220-seat majority -- just a five-seat edge over House Rs, and a two-vote cushion to get bills through the chamber.
THAT’S INCREDIBLY, INCREDIBLY tight. If you are one who believes Covid relief needs to happen in the first quarter of the year, then it’s going to need to be a negotiated bill between @PELOSI and @GOPLeader. MCCARTHY is suddenly quite relevant to governing
220 IS THE SMALLEST MAJORITY since 2001, when Republicans maintained incredible party discipline with a similarly sized majority. In those days, they had TOM DELAY and earmarks to keep things in line -- and they never lost a vote. This included lots of screaming.
PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP will re-emerge from his self-imposed post-election quarantine this afternoon at 4:30 when he flies to Valdosta, Ga., for a rally for Sens. KELLY LOEFFLER and DAVID PERDUE.
THIS FRONT PAGE of the MACON TELEGRAPH (Ga.) says it all: “Republicans bank on Trump in Georgia runoff”. bit.ly/3mPhQ80
And this story in the ATLANTA JOURNAL-CONSTITUTION by the great @bluestein explains the stakes and the dynamics quite nicely. “Faith shaken in system, Trump’s Georgia supporters consider skipping U.S. Senate runoffs” bit.ly/2VJCiv8
WE ARE NOW 8 DAYS AWAY from government funding running out, and there’s a healthy heap of skepticism in the House & Senate that Congress will be able to put together a full year of spending bills in time for the Dec. 11 funding date.
SO WHAT’S THAT MEAN FOR D.C.? A short-term spending bill becomes really likely. One thing being talked about is extending government funding until March. AND WHAT’S THAT DO? ….
It puts a big fat government funding fight in the first quarter of next year, just as President-elect JOE BIDEN will be getting his presidency started.
PLAYBOOK PM … NEW … @SpeakerRyan on a call this morning said the “attacks on our voting system really need to stop, in my opinion.” And he said TRUMP’S lawyers are offering “baseless conspiracy theories.”
@SpeakerRyan "I really think it’s in the president’s best interest to acknowledge these things and not just have the GSA technically facilitate the transfer of power, but to embrace the transfer of power, the system we have."
@SpeakerRyan >@SpeakerRyan on JOE BIDEN: “I personally think it’s in Joe Biden’s best interest -- he obviously would not want to hear this -- for us to win these Georgia Senate seats …