Thread by @Nate_Cohn

Let's dive into some of these numbers. One important bit of context: day one of early voting is not usually representative, it's usually quite good for Democrats

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1338848804553027586?s=20

In the general election, for example, our estimate was that Biden won the first two days of early voting, three of the four weekend days, and Trump won basically every other day of early voting

Yesterday's voters were, again, quite Democratic. By our measure of party primary history, it was Dem 47, Rep 36-- about the same or perhaps a little better for the GOP than day one of the general, which was Dem 49, Rep 34. Racial demographics quite similar too

I wouldn't read much into the details of the comparison--either in terms of the level of turnout or the composition of the vote. No two elections are identical. Folks w/long memories will recall ridic lines in Oct., tho not yesterday. Many noted fewer voting centers in Cobb

But broadly speaking, we now have a very clear signal from both absentee and in-person early voting data that we can expect a high turnout election, with no meaningful indication so far that either side will enjoy a turnout edge compared to the general election