There were 102 special advisers as of Mar 2020, down from 108 in Nov 2019 assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
But by 15 Dec the number was back up to 114 (incl 4 part-time); weird that the doc lists total from 9 mths ago
This may be a record, which will gladden the heart of any Blairite who remembers Tory attacks on “politicisation” before 2010
It is a record. It's actually 116 special advisers, incl 4 part time, so maybe 114 ftes. vs previous record 108 last year & 107 in 2015

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More from @JohnRentoul

10 Dec
Fascinating. Dec 1972 For joining Common Market 39%, Against 45%; Jan 1973 We were right to join 38%, Wrong 36% Gallup
I was prompted to look this up by discussion with @BenChu_ at the @Independent Brexit event this evening Image
He suggested after decades of relative economic decline, British wanted to join; & after decades of relative growth, wanted to leave
Read 5 tweets
10 Dec
TIMSS Trends in International Mathematics & Science Study 2019 4th grade (age 9/10) maths timss2019.org/reports/downlo…
England 12th in science 4th grade
Scotland does not take part because everyone knows the SNP govt is doing such a good job bbc.co.uk/news/education…
Read 4 tweets
9 Dec
#PMQs coming up at noon: Starmer by video
Michael Gove statement on Irish border deal after #PMQs: here are my Qs independent.co.uk/independentpre…
Starmer misquoting PM: “failure of statecraft” was a reference to leaving EU without a withdrawal agreement
Read 8 tweets
27 Oct
Prisoners of Geography, Tim Marshall: interesting perspectives on Sykes-Picot, Kashmir & Putin’s sense of encirclement
Early Writings, Karl Marx, 1843-44, so doesn’t include only interesting thing he wrote – photocopy of The German Ideology (1846) tucked in Image
Talking to a Brick Wall, Deborah Mattinson’s wonderfully double-edged title about working for Gordon Brown & listening to voters, 2010
Read 111 tweets
14 Sep
It’s still too early, but worth updating my US election preview from 23 Aug
Biden has an average 7-point lead in national polls, which is significant, and more than the 1-pt lead Hillary had at this stage projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/presiden… en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nationwid…
But what matters is Biden’s lead in the state needed to get him over the 270 electoral college votes to win
Read 10 tweets
30 Aug
Important paper on coronavirus death rates suggests effects of govt measures (eg distancing) have been “substantially” overstated HT @tylercowen minneapolisfed.org/research/sr/sr…
Paper suggests death rates rose & fell mostly regardless of govt actions: “We are concerned that [previous] studies may substantially overstate the role of govt-mandated NPIs [non-pharmaceutical interventions] in reducing disease transmission due to an omitted variable bias”
Three possible “omitted variables”: 1. “Humans spontaneously take action to avoid disease transmission once an epidemic breaks out”, & this behaviour change is big & consistent enough to produce roughly the same decline in death rates at the same time everywhere...
Read 5 tweets

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