How to identify if an instrument trading sideways?
here are a few pointers
1. stock is stuck between swing high and low or SR zones which are in very tight range
2. Anchored vwap from last swing high and swing low converges each other and price howering near by
1/8
3. Short term moving average crosses long term MA several times in both direction in short period
4. Price crossing 200sma several times with flat 200sma with average or below average volume
5. Contraction of price structure & formation of chart patterns
2/8
6. RSI trapped between 60 and 40 for long period & ADX measuring below 20
7. False break out on either sides at support n resistance
8. Price is overlapping between Ichimoku clouds, and taken/kejun and clouds are flat
3/8
9. Volumes lower than 20 days average trading volume, ADX less than 15, Low gap between +DI and -DI & Price between monthly and weekly pivot levels
10. Motherbar followed by inside bar followed by numerous bars inside the motherbar range
4/8
11. If CPR (Central Pivot Range) is wide, it can be a sideways move
12.
Flat 20ema - Current trend sideways,
flat 50ema - Short term trend sideways,
flat 100ema - Medium trend sideways &
flat 200ema - Long term trend sideways
5/8
13. Upper TL and lower TL moves in horizontal direction accompanied with flat 21 EMA
14. Flat bollinger band and RSI is between 40 to 60
6/8
15.
An uptrend pulls into a “lower high”
But does not print a “lower low”
&
A downtrend pulls up a “higher low”
But does not subsequently print a higher high
7/8
the pointers here presented are compiled from the below tweet.
all credit goes to the ones who came up with the comments
It followed by a deep correction in the form of wave 2. Having made a higher low in wave 2,
wave 3 confirms above the top of wave 1.
That’s supposed to be the strongest price move in the entire cycle.
2/7
This followed by a very shallow correction which usually lesser than 50% of the entire wave 3,
usually its lesser than 40% even.
This shallow pullback is a signal that another strong up move is on the cards.
That wave 5 which terminates the up move cycle.
3/7
u were in cash bcz market wasnt supporting delivery trades with long bias. So this is the primary factor u need ur analysis to b based upon.
The best tool to guage the market health is market breadth
such as advance/decline ratio, % of scrips abv 200 SMA, number of scrips at yearly highs etc. The idea behind it is find out a general condition which held true in the past bullish phases in the market.
2/13
Suppose in the past bull markets, there were >70% scrips abv 200SMA till the bull market finishes. So u can form a thesis that once we have this data coosses abv 70% critical level, u would be able to assess that market is starting a new bull market stage.
3/13
A trading journal isnt just about recording basic trade details
Its a live market forward test report as well.
For that u need to assess & analyse various facets in trading separately
Here are the components of trading journal
1/12
1. Trade-specific details
The entry, SL, exit price/time,
Traded instrument,
Trade direction,
The result of the trade etc.
2/12
2. Analysis
logic behind the entry, SL and target levels.
Potential reasons for why trade might not work
Review of the same after trade completed.
Notes on scope of improvements etc.
Do not overload with multiple tools from same category
For example,
do not use stochastic and macd together.
Both measures momentum.
And both are imperfect in its own way.
Same goes true with other tools as well
2/4
One system to start with I would suggest here
Candlestick charting for price
Volume for supply and demand
Macd for momentum
Bollinger band for volatility
Swing Pivots for Support/Resistance
Often u would find a struggling person talks philosophy
Bcz, that's easy
Kind of accepting what's happening as inevitable
It's fate & u r bound to take it
But very few guys,
refuse philosophy
decide to fight
Make a plan
start from scratch
&
persist with hard work
Relate it with trading
Each and every successful trader was a struggling trader once
It's just becoz he decided to keep philosophy aside and worked upon his core weaknesses,
he became what he is now
2/4
Behind his present success, there would be lots of painful experiences and sacrifices wold be there
which he committed to fullfil his ambition.
That's the solo route to success in trading career
3/4
thr exists no way of building conviction on ur trading process
except "backtesting"
Its not just about the response in price after the chart set up is formed,
scaling in potential
Volatility risk
Impact of demand etc etc
thr r lot many important parameters to b quantified.
All the trading decisions u take in ur trading
has to be backrtested for the last min 5 years data.
Suppose u havent done any backtesting, and u have position which goes against u
u would be just holding it based on ur emotions.
2/5
u dont have any idea about what are the chances for price to regain all the losses
But if u have done the BT, then u will have an exact point of price beyond which there is no hope for any recovery.
3/5