Benefits (in the ideal case of course) for the parties involved 👇
Watch out before you get too excited to get on this train.👇
My notes.
-SPAC structure adds Sponsor Risk (incentives, capabilities, their later actions dictated by Market conditions) on top of (prospective) Company Risk.
-Best case scenario for the target Co is
✔️Getting a great sponsor (including strategic guidance & operational experience)
✔️Getting a good price & a much faster path to Public Markets.
Downside is the high equity loss due to Founder shares to sponsor (usually 20% of SPAC).
-Retail investors don't get warrants to buy more shares (if they like the target Company) and don't get to redeem their shares (if they don't like the merger). 🤷♂️
Other than the occasional & quick chance of the SPAC acquiring a great Company that is not going the IPO route or Direct Listing, retail investors are assuming most of the risk and little of the rewards.
My biggest takeaway :
Down the road (might be pretty soon), If there are too many SPACs chasing too few opportunities (of good/interested Co's that want to be SPAC-ed), the quality criteria might come down, leading to poor acquisitions and bad final results
Remember the GFC...
1⃣A specific Financial Asset performing well initially📊
2⃣Too much Demand/Capital chasing those assets 💰💰
3⃣Obviously leading to higher supply but poor quality❌
4⃣Finally horrible results. 🤮
I'll learn for now, but stay away.🚫
Thanks, but no Thanks.👎
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Time for a Scorecard📊and thesis📑updates for purchases done in Feb/Mar 2020. Last review done in late April. How far things have come since then.😯
Not taking any drastic actions, other than few sells in fully valued, slower growth Co.'s.
Events since then
✔️Co's reporting two Qtrly reports
✔️Accelerating growth for few sectors
✔️Understandable problems for few others
✔️Crazy run-ups & valuations in the last 9 mo's, supported by biz growth in some cases, but mostly due to Monetary factors & Investor enthusiasm...
I usually buy for two scenarios
1⃣Leading Co's within strong secular trends, that also have strong Management Teams and solid Financials (Rev growth, Profitability or improving Margins/FCF prospects, no balance sheet risk...).
Investing is more fun & rewarding when you understand the story of the Company, have your own thesis, and know what to follow along (even before Financials & stock prices).
The best long-term results in the Markets are achieved, when you moderate your behavior (and have a good plan and stick to it), instead of your actions/moods entirely being influenced by the Market cycle, like this guy below.👇
Good and simple explanations of some of the behavioral biases in the article.
I was on the @StockDtective podcast recently and we packed in a lot of information, especially for newer and individual investors. Hope the listeners enjoy this one.