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Dave Weigel Profile picture
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17 Dec, 4 tweets, 2 min read
Here's how 2020 would have gone 1) if Biden only got as many votes as Clinton '16, while Trump hit his 2020 turnout number and 2) if Trump only got as many votes as he did in that election, while Biden hit *his* 2020 turnout number. OH is really red now and VA is really blue.
The map on the left is basically the same as the "real election numbers rescued from the secret CIA server farm" map, the map on the right is basically the high-end Dem fantasy of how 2020 could have gone.
Biden got 2,679,165 votes in Ohio. Had Trump gotten exactly as many votes as he got in 2016, and not one more, he'd have still won the state by 161,841 votes.
Sure, *you* call this a waste of time. But taking a couple minutes to do this was clarifying. You can see why a Wisconsin Trump voter who gets his info from Fox et al cannot understand how Biden won.

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More from @daveweigel

Dave Weigel Profile picture
15 Dec
I have fractures on both 1) a tooth and 2) the little charge-container that my headphones came with, and I honestly am more annoyed by 2 bc the company phased it out and I can't replace it.
(Who cares, but I've always had a weak left canine tooth - it's a baby tooth that the real tooth never descended to replace. Probably getting invasive surgery to end the year, which seems right for the time.)
(I realized over the weekend that the tooth had split in half yet is still in my mouth so I'm just trying to avoid taffy or caramel apples or whatever food would most comically yank the tooth out of my skull.)
Read 4 tweets
Dave Weigel Profile picture
14 Dec
I wonder if QAnon in a Biden presidency will flip, and insist that a secret army of deep state operatives are *preventing* the Khmer Rouge-style plans Biden had for America.
Like, "When President-in-exile Trump tweeted 'GET READY!' he was sending a signal to the patriots to call off Biden's order to collective all of Iowa's farms, which is why it didn't happen."
I Am The Resistance Inside the Biden Administration
Read 4 tweets
Dave Weigel Profile picture
4 Dec
Rep. Buddy Carter, evoking Chuck Schumer's comment that if Dems win Georgia they can "change the world":

"I like the world just like it is, and I don't want to change it!"
"I've heard many of you ask me: Well, why should I vote, it's rigged? You have to get out."

He assures the crowd "the president is out there making sure this was a transparent and honest election."
Public Service Commissioner Bubba McDonald continues the theme: "Don't be pressed by somebody saying, I'm just gonna sit it out, I don't like what they did in the general election. You've gotta get over it. Please, get over it."
Read 5 tweets
Dave Weigel Profile picture
2 Dec
Interesting Q for Rs post Trump is if they embrace his fairly popular “hand out money” policies or return to less popular “quote Reagan and don’t give people free stuff” policies. ImageImage
The “Trumpism or Ryanism” question feels pretty settled to me! The low point of Trump’s popularity wasn’t around any particular scandal, it was when Ryan convinced him that he had a mandate to replace the ACA with high risk pools.
But if the “lol the government always makes things worse” talking point can survive the CARES act it can survive anything
Read 4 tweets
Dave Weigel Profile picture
2 Dec
My hot take is that “Dems want to boycott Goya” is a better example of asymmetric GOP messaging power than “defund the police.” There actually were “defund” advocates. The Goya boycott stuff was some people on Twitter for a few hours. (ugh, thread, I guess)
So @AOC joked about “googling how to make my own adobo,” @JulianCastro more seriously said that Latinos should reconsider buying Goya products bc its CEO endorsed Trump. But it was like a 12-hour news cycle, comparable to people being mad at Kirstie Alley.
In the Trump campaign’s hands, this cleverly became ads in which Latino actors said that Democrats had “launched a smear campaign against Goya.” Biden hadn’t said a peep about it. It was a couple of pissed off Latino Dems who had moved on pretty quickly!
Read 4 tweets
Dave Weigel Profile picture
1 Dec
When I talked to incoming NRSC chair Rick Scott last month, he suggested the election contests would be over by Thanksgiving week and that voters would have a month to focus on the Senate runoffs. Small problem with this... (1/2)
What if Trump just keeps endorsing election contests? The new goalpost is December 14, when the electoral college votes... but the election isn't certified in Congress until January 6, the day after the runoffs. And some Trump allies say they'll be contesting it. (2/2)
Rs keep letting Trump play out the string here, but he keeps finding more string. Which you'd think they'd have figured out after four years of working with him.
Read 5 tweets

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