Early voting is still proceeding at a brisk pace in the Georgia runoff, where nearly 150k voted yesterday--a hair above the third day of early voting in 2020 general
Yesterday was also the first day where the Democratic share of in-person early voters, as defined by partisan vote history, was better for them than it was in the general
(dark line = runoff; light = general)
(dark line = runoff; light = general)
That said, it's possible they might well need to beat out their early voting numbers from the general to compensate for a dropoff in the number of absentee voters, who are far more Democratic
It's far too early to get into that calculation. For one, absentee voting is behind for some pretty understandable reasons. For another, who knows what the early voting pace will look like after the holidays
Anyway, I continue to think it's too soon to read much into this data. The major takeaway continues to be that this is going to be a high turnout election, and it's still too early to try and be confident about whether the voting augurs for a notable turnout edge for either side
When we get a little further in, we'll try and glean a few lessons. For now, there are a lot of crosscutting patterns with some odd obstacles ahead (holidays!) and I think it's probably best to wait until we're at the other side
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