1/8
What's on the cards for crime & justice in 2021 / Danny Shaw
2020. A year most of us would rather forget, and a year when the cracks in the criminal justice system were brutally exposed.
[Thread]
2/8
As #COVID19 took hold, courts closed, causing a lengthy backlog of criminal cases to extend even further; offender rehabilitation work was sharply curtailed, with prisoners locked in cells for 23 hours a day;
3/8 police had to enforce unprecedented, and rapidly changing restrictions on our liberty, placing them in situations none of us could have anticipated 12 months ago.
4/8 And there’s little sign of any let up in 2021. In fact, the impact of delays on victims, witnesses and defendants is likely to become even more pronounced.
5/8 Don’t be surprised if cases collapse because they’ve gone on too long or if serious crimes are committed by suspects bailed due to legal hold ups.
6/8 This all comes as law enforcement braces itself for far-reaching changes to EU data and intelligence-sharing procedures when the #Brexit transition period ends on 31 December.
7/8 There’s little doubt there’ll be repercussions - less information will be exchanged at a slower rate than now - what’s unclear is just how serious they’ll be.
8/8 As we reach the end of a tumultuous year for the criminal justice system, new Head of Strategy and Insight, @DannyShawNews, takes a look ahead to what we can expect in 2021. Read in full: bit.ly/37rPgEr
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1/18
THREAD: A perfect storm: why the criminal justice system is facing an existential crisis
New analysis from Crest suggests that criminal court capacity in England & Wales will need to double to stop the backlog of cases growing to an unmanageable level over the next 4 years
2/18
Based on official data, Crest’s modelling projects that current trajectories will mean:
🔵 The Crown Court backlog will quadruple from c.45.5K cases in 2019 to c.195.5K cases by 2024.
3/18
🔵 The magistrates’ courts backlog will rise from c.58.6K cases in 2019 to c.580.3K cases by 2024 – increasing by a factor of 10.