Thread by @gnomeicide

Right now, Covid deaths remain resolutely static in the UK. Here's the overall picture (1)

There are lots of ways of expressing the same data. I mean, that looks like things have levelled off, right? And thats... Good? Nope. Here's another way of looking at the same numbers, total dead (2)

For over a month now we've been trundling along with 400-500 deaths (on average) per day. That means we hit this point before the (very loose) second lockdown took hold of death figures and we haven't gone lower. Lockdown 2 did not work well enough (3)

Every day, the 7 day running total wavers at around 3000. All entirely preventable, avoidable deaths had we taken this seriously. (4)

R, when people dying now caught Covid, was about 1. Thats what it means when the number dying barely goes down or up, it means that the infection rate was more or less constant. (5)

Percentage change in daily deaths wavers around 0. We are making no progress in stopping this disease. None. (6)

Comparing this with wave 1, we've been in this longer, we've failed to get out ahead. Again. (7)

And the success of testing, here defined by the proportion of positives to deaths two weeks later, is failing. Its getting progressively worse. (8)

Variation between days remains massive, but don't expect good news today or tomorrow. (9)

We're going to see this disease spread rapidly when people go home for Christmas and that's going to create a big spike in deaths in January. I've no doubt that cases are rising now too. Its no longer a matter of -if- deaths rise again. Its when. And how fast. (10)

With infection rising across the country, with vaccinations for most still a way off, we're in serious trouble. And for some reason our governments response is to send you home to kill your parents with disease. Be angry. This fatal crisis was not inevitable (fin)