Thread by @gnomeicide

326 Covid-19 fatalities in the UK today. Not a record for a Sunday, but high, and after a low number last Sunday, and a slow rise over the last few days, things are looking grim. Here's the overall picture (1)

Have a closer look at the resent trend. Thats a worrying upturn. (2)

3234 dead over the last 7 days, thats the highest 7 day total since November 28th. That means that the peak we'd hoped not to pass in the second wave, the high point so far, might be passed again soon (3)

On every measure tings are going the wrong way. On every measure things are getting worse. We shouldn't quite yet be increasing deaths due to the end of lockdown 2, but here we are (4)

R at a 23 delay (best we can calculate it sing only deaths, thats how long on average it takes Covid to kill) just crept back over 1.1. (5)

The daily change in deaths is now definitely going the wrong way - the number being killed by Covid is about 1.5% more each day right now (6)

And just comparing waves 1 and 2, the lesson is clear - we worked to get over the first peak and we have resolutely failed to do so for the second. We're in colossal trouble (7)

Daily variation is still massive, but too many of the trends here are going up again. Tomorrow we would expect to be low (Mondays usually are) but as we approach Christmas we're expecting things to get worse (8)

Every day of the last 7 but 1 (Tuesday) saw a rise on the week before. Testing isn't coming any closer to catching up - we're catching a lower proportion of positive cases so track and trace is failing. (9)

Even using the governments ludicrous 28 day cut-of from test for Covid tests, we're going to go over 70,000 (mostly entirely preventable) deaths the day ater Boxing day. (10)

There are no positives to draw from todays Covid-19 data. Hospitalisations are terrifying, positive tests are colossal (35928) but obviously not getting anywhere close to catching all infection, lockdown 2 didn't get R far below 1 and we're already way above that again (11)

And on the data of the last week we could well be entering a slow exponential rise in deaths from the already -terrifying- daily averages we were seeing (12)

The extent to which Britain has mishandled this, from the outset, must now be clear to everyone. Worse than other EU countries. Worse than almost any other developed country. And the source of this failure, the blame, can be squarely and entirely placed with our government (13)

Its not NHS staff (more of whom have been killed by this disease than NATO servicemen were lost in the Gulf war), its not the populace who did their best despite constantly confusing, contradictory government advice (14)

...its not the terrified mass leaving cities in response to garbled and disgustingly late government uptake. Johnson. Sunak. Gove. Hancock. Patel. From 'herd immunity' 'take it on the chin' onward their policies have been a crime against humanity (15)

We've had bad governments in Britain. You have to go back to the potato famine to find a more intentionally callous, murderous regime in the British Isles. Don't forget. Don't forgive. Hold them to account. (fin)