K-12 schools, colleges & universities need to be planning for reopening in August/Sept 2021 assuming many staff & faculty will have access to vaccination (though some will decline) but most students will not have the opportunity yet.
https://twitter.com/bethlinas/status/1341074952057987078
3 reasons: 1) even on most ambitious Trump admin timeline (which doesn’t appear to be backed up by purchase agreements or distribution plans) *beginning* to offer vaccination to the general population in late spring doesn’t mean most will actually have access by August.
2) To actually *start* vaccinating the general population by late spring will require everything to go perfectly, as Murthy & others are pointing out. Less than 10% of nursing homes have been able to start vaccinating residents so far.
3) We’re only just beginning to study the vaccines in older teens. It’ll be a long time before it’s authorized, let alone approved, for most school-age kids. When admin officials refer to competing timelines for “general population” I take them to mean *adults*
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