With kleptocrats deploying strategic corruption & malign finance abroad while voters are angry about corruption & inequality at home, anti-corruption offers a historic chance to unify foreign and domestic policy. Nobody gets this better than @jakejsullivan.politico.com/news/2020/11/2…
Biden will make fighting corruption a top priority, pledging that the US commitment at his Summit for Democracy will be a "presidential policy directive that establishes combating corruption as a core national security interest & democratic responsibility."foreignaffairs.com/articles/unite…
Making anti-corruption work will take more than words. After getting key people in place, @USTreasury should coordinate all its tools to mobilize a new arsenal of powerful regulatory actions. Here are 4 top priorities for 2021 and another 4 to plan for over the next couple years.
First, @USTreasury should issue rules requiring enablers of corruption to know who their ultimate customers are. Regulating lawyers & accountants would need major preparations, but real estate, private equity & hedge funds, & 8 others could be covered by just revoking exemptions.
Second, the other regulation that @USTreasury absolutely needs to get right in 2021—due in one year—is strong implementation of beneficial ownership. Four lessons from the legislative process show how @USTreasury will have to resist pressure by special interests to water it down.
Third, the idea we're most excited to propose is for @USTreasury to publish its first-ever National Corruption Risk Assessment on the financial networks of kleptocracies and oligarchs. This isn't required by the NDAA, but dovetails with it in 5 ways. Needed in the first 100 days.
Fourth, @USTreasury should start working with Congress to invest in FinCEN, like the recent seven-fold jump in CFIUS funding. We reveal a backroom deal in which Congress added $10 million (8%) to FinCEN's budget in response to the #FinCENFiles. That should just be a down payment.
That's already a lot of work at a time when @USTreasury’s capacity is diminished & will be stretched in a busy year.
Here's a list of the other 4 options for executive action targeting dirty money. These can come later in a multi-year plan (along w/ regulating more enablers). ⬇️
America has accomplished big strategic reorientations like this before. The two months following the September 11 attacks witnessed one of the most energetic and well-coordinated performances in @USTreasury history.
With @USTreasury not yet coordinated around anti-corruption, quickly achieving anything like past feats would require proactive organizational planning. The Under Secretary for Terrorism & Financial Intelligence (TFI) should hire a small team devoted exclusively to this mission.
The team should coordinate with & leverage resources across TFI offices. To truly globalize the effort, they must work closely w/ International Affairs too. All these offices are already involved in anti-corruption work, such as Global Magnitsky sanctions & deeper IMF engagement.
Finally, while @WHNSC should lead the overall fight against kleptocracy and corruption, the TFI anti-corruption team should help coordinate @USTreasury’s related collaboration with the rest of the US government, as well as with international partners, civil society, and Congress.
Combating corruption will be one of Biden's top priorities, & @USTreasury can deliver powerful results quickly. But to do so, @USTreasury would need to proactively coordinate its vast toolkit of regulation, policy, diplomacy, intelligence, & enforcement. 🔚securingdemocracy.gmfus.org/treasurys-war-…
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I see lots of reassuring advice to ignore Trump's lies about the election because he'll be gone in 71 days.
Conspiracy theories about a 2010 plane crash that killed a Polish president offer a darker warning: A big lie about a president's fall can permanently contort democracy.🧵
In April 2010, Polish President Lech Kaczyński died when the airplane carrying him went down near the Russian city of Smolensk in what turned out to be a failed attempt to save time by landing on a foggy airstrip in a dark forest.
Initially, Lech Kaczyński’s twin brother, Jarosław, seemed to accept that the crash was an accident caused by a faulty old airplane. But after investigations showed the plane was fine, Jarosław turned to baseless conspiracies about sinister plotting by foreign & domestic enemies.
While Russia uses "a range of measures" to interfere in the Nov. 3 election, the Kremlin spends covert foreign money to meddle in two elections a couple days before that on Russia's borders. One will be revealed later this week. In today’s thread: Georgia. codastory.com/disinformation…
The Georgian job is run by the Kremlin dept. for "Inter-Regional Relations and Cultural Contacts with Foreign Countries," headed by SVR Gen. Vladimir Chernov & staffed with FSB, GRU, & SVR officers. Its real aim is to prevent color revolutions near Russia. dossier.center/chernov/
.@dossier_center got a trove of internal Kremlin documents, from Russia's $8 million budget to fund Georgia's pro-Russian political party in the four months before the Oct 31 election to emails showing Kremlin control over the party's political consultants.dossier.center/georgia/
I told @ak_mack that covert foreign money is just as threatening as online interference and it would be comparatively easier to build resilience to these financial weapons by closing legal loopholes. foreignpolicy.com/2020/08/18/leg…
This interference tool, which we call "malign finance," is less studied but just as common as cyber and disinfo. In a typical case, a regime oligarch funnels $1 million to a favored political party (although buying influence in a national election costs more like $3-15 million).
In this must-read piece, @FranklinFoer warns that 2016 was merely the Kremlin's opening salvo. Their goal wasn't limited to helping elect Trump. Their toolkit evolves and isn't limited to cyber or social media. They want to take down American democracy. theatlantic.com/magazine/archi…
Kudos to @FranklinFoer for highlighting a tool of foreign interference that doesn't get enough attention because it wasn't among the two main attack vectors in 2016 but Russia has actively deployed it since then: malign finance.
We learned from @etuckerAP a week ago that @DHSgov and @FBI warned the states of eight possible Russian tactics for the 2020 election, including three offline threat vectors: financial support, covert advice, and economic/business levers of influence. apnews.com/8e96b52c88d836…
Key revelation today: The "fictional narrative" that it was Ukraine and not Russia that interfered in our 2016 election "has been perpetrated and propagated by the Russian security services themselves." [THREAD]
Immediately after making that unambiguous attribution in her prepared remarks today, former senior official Fiona Hill noted that "some of the underlying details [of the intel assessment that Russia was the foreign power that attacked us in 2016] must remain classified."
Not all of this is new. We learned from FBI interviews released earlier this month that Manafort was pushing this baseless conspiracy theory starting in 2016, and that it "parroted a narrative" supported by former GRU officer Konstantin Kilimnik.
.@IgnatiusPost raises important questions. This year's quid pro quo could have been an encore performance of a similar 2017 effort by Trump & Giuliani to condition a White House visit & military assistance on (stopping) investigations as a favor for Trump. washingtonpost.com/opinions/did-t…
In 2017, the White House visit was for Zelensky's predecessor, Petro Poroshenko. In both cases, the Ukrainian gov't needed public US support as a signal to Russia. In both cases, Giuliani was in Kyiv beforehand seeking favors beneficial to Trump around investigations into 2016.
The main difference is that in 2017 Mueller was in the driver's seat of US investigations into 2016, so Trump's preference seems to have been that Ukraine NOT cooperate.
In 2019, with AG Bill Barr in charge, the favor sought by Trump was that Ukraine SHOULD cooperate with Barr.