1/ I've heard Craig McCaw say many times: "wireless radio spectrum is like invisible money."
When you have more spectrum you don't need to spend as much on infrastructure. One can be a substitute for the other. Not all spectrum is equally valuable tho. wsj.com/articles/5g-au…
2/ Wireless is about tradeoffs. For example, low band radio frequencies have better propagation, but have less hertz to transmit bits. Higher frequencies are the reverse. Mid-band frequencies are, well, in the middle. Do you know what higher prices in this auction indicate?
3/ If you look at that picture in the first tweet you should think: "That infrastructure looks spendy because it requires real cash money." Having spectrum helping you avoid that cost is worth buying at auction. The more spendy the infrastructure, the more valuable spectrum is.
4/ "After 45 rounds, the average nationwide price per MHz PoP price for licenses was of $0.81. That rises to $0.96 across categories when factoring in accelerated clearing payments and relocation costs to move satellite operators out of the band band." fiercewireless.com/5g/c-band-near…
5/ The "price per MHz PoP" concept in the wireless industry was created by McCaw Cellular in the early years of the business to capture the invisible money value of radio spectrum. Bankers and bond holders had to be convinced there was a valuable asset underlying the business.
6/ Early days in US wireless = two operators with symmetrical assets (A and B side). In 2020, assets are not the same and there are more than two operators fighting in markets that are highly penetrated. Asymmetric competition is typically much fiercer. lightreading.com/ossbss/will-c-…
7/ People are asking me what "C-band "radio spectrum means.
C stands for "compromise" -- not S band (S = short) and not X band ("X marks the spot" for fire control radar). Some of the actioned spectrum is actually in S-band.
S-Band used in a moving auto is called escargot.
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1/ 1994 was a miracle year of my life I said in a podcast recently. McCaw Cellular was sold in 1993. The Information Highway plan was about to die an unexpected death replaced by an Internet that had commercial value. The shift to the Internet was obvious only after the fact.
2/ “The decision to put money into the Internet in 1994 was considered by many of my colleagues to be borderline insane. Most people said things like, The Internet is free; you can’t make money on that!" Marc Andreessen
3/ The sale of McCaw Cellular to AT&T in 1993 meant Jim Barksdale and Peter Currie went to Netscape. Craig McCaw was talking to Jim Clark who said: “What I recognized after talking to Marc Andreessen was that the Web was to networks in 1994 what the PC was to computing in 1982.”
"Did Shkreli ask you for advice on his romantic relationship?" is a question I'm seeing a lot tonight in DMs and texts.
Strategy is of little use in affairs of the heart. But as Charlie Munger says, its wise to avoid experiences like bad marriages or racing trains to crossings.
"A realization hit her. In the visitors’ room, “I told Martin I loved him,” Smythe says. “And he told me he loved me, too.” She asked if she could kiss him, and he said yes. The room smelled of chicken wings, she remembers." elle.com/life-love/a350…
It is more likely I would be asked for advice on a topic like this:
"Shkreli mused about running for office or starting a podcast when he got out.“
Starting a podcast is far too hard.
Running for political office only requires clearing a very low hurdle. Weak competitors!
If TAM is limited, or you want to own a better part of the value chain, buy your suppliers.
"Lockheed already uses Aerojet Rocketdyne’s propulsion systems in its aeronautics, missiles and fire control offerings."reuters.com/article/us-aer…
The market for rocket launches to space isn't that big. Musk has said that the maximum revenue SpaceX can get from launch is $3B. This year SpaceX did 14 commercial launches at $60M each on average. The TAM is best expanded by adjacent enabled markets like communications .
Aerojet Rocketdyne provides the RS-25 engine that will be used to propel a SLS rocket.
The unit economics of SLS seem, well, problematic once Starship is reusable..
Arianespace: "Oh please mom and dad, Elon has his own global broadband LEO satellite network to fill up his SpaceX launch manifest. Can I please have one too?" bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Arianespace: "I promise these satellites will use technology based on quantum physics to make them hack-proof as was demonstrated by Chinese researchers."
Mom: "Have you even read the new Morgan Stanley report projecting quantum communications revenues?" news.google.com/articles/CAIiE…
Dad: "Everyone knows Morgan Stanley recently revised its SpaceX EV valuation to over $100bn (bull case >$200bn) does not include any direct valuation attribution related to quantum communication networks, quantum metrology or cryptography."
That 982 megahertz isn't designated for use in Earth-based satellite communications means exactly nothing.
Its nearly certain that intelligent life in Proxima Centauri would have their own frequency allocation systems. They also don't use G designations. scientificamerican.com/article/alien-…
The radio waves emanating from just 4.2 light-years away are concentrated at 982.002 megahertz, which is nice.
To test the source of the waves, Berkeley scientists sent back a message at the same frequency asking if they wanted to make dinner reservations at The French Laundry.
What human-created 982 MHZ sources exist?
"That's also the wavelength (982MHz) of the Intel Stratix 10 FPGA as well as the NVIDIA GeForce RTX 2060 6 GB GDDR6 with ROG Boost (Base: 982 MHz) and Fermi DVFS (982 MHz at 0.981V)."
These aliens are planning to sell FPGAs in Q1 2021!