To be clear, non-tariff barriers are things like paperwork for exporters, checks on imported products, licencing requirements for professionals, and differences in regulations that firms must comply with...
The single market eliminated many of these non-tariff barriers facing UK firms.
The UK is leaving the single market so they will return.
Here's the European Commission setting it out very clearly 👇
Negative interest rates for the UK back in play? 📉
Financial futures markets are pricing in a higher chance of negative rates next year from the Bank if England in wake of the Tier 4 restrictions announced at the weekend & fears of a return to recession...👇
....Although worth noting that markets still seem to think chances are lower than expected earlier this month (see green line)...👇
...Futures data handily published by Bank of England alongside its daily yield curve data by the way...
...But important to remember that falling UK interest rates mean that the government's cost of servicing this spiking debt is projected by the @OBR_UK to FALL as a share of GDP not rise 👇
Rishi Sunak says in response to today's public finance figures: "When our economy recovers, it’s right that we take the necessary steps to put the public finances on a more sustainable footing"...
The latest estimates of new daily cases in England produced by ONS modelling of data from its weekly coronavirus survey HAS been revised down dramatically and DOES show much flatter profile in October than previous estimates..
...As many have pointed out (such as @SarahDRasmussen & @ChrisGiles_ ) the ONS modelling estimates are very volatile.
The time series gets revised a lot as new info gets fed into the model.
Some argue it swings too much, and that this is a deficiency of the model...
Lots of businesses have refused cash and asked customers to pay by contactless during the panedmic. 💵🦠
Yet the value of cash in circulation has jumped...
...So what's going on? Hoarding? Difficulties for firms in depositing cash?
I was really pleased to discuss this and many other issues about about Covid and the future of cash with @krogoff and @HowardJDavies in our latest @CoronaNomicsTV episode....