EXCLUSIVE: in an extremely 2020 plot twist, the UK's biggest covid testing lab is now home to an outbreak
Three out of four lab teams at the Milton Keynes Lighthouse Lab have been affected, as have office and administrative staff news.sky.com/story/covid-19…
One lab worker blamed lax safety procedures and said rules were being broken in order to meet targets
However it happened, the outbreak has hit the lab hard. In one 70-person lab team, there are currently 20 scientists isolating news.sky.com/story/covid-19…
The Department of Health and Social Care said it was aware of the outbreak, but denied any safety guidelines had been broken
I understand the Health and Safety Executive visited the Lighthouse Lab recently. Perhaps it will have a view news.sky.com/story/covid-19…
Can't quite believe I'm still working on Christmas Eve, but I guess it's been that kind of year
Now I really *am* putting my phone down. Merry Christmas everyone! Stay safe out there
And of course best wishes to all the people working over Christmas to keep us safe, including everyone at the Lighthouse Labs. Thanks. I know it's not easy, but it is appreciated
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What's happening with the data about the vaccine? Well, let's put it this way: there's a lot to sort out
A THREAD on my reporting today
This is Dr Elliot Singer, a GP in Waltham Forest. If anyone can be called a community doctor, it’s him. He wasn’t just born locally, he was delivered by the GP who used to have his practice
He’s delighted to be delivering the vaccine, but the tech is causing “huge frustration“
There are numerous software systems involved with vaccination, but two are central. 1. Recording who's had the vaccine (and which vaccine, what batch etc). 2. Inviting and booking patients for appointments - what's known as "call and recall"
I just wish I knew what an online harm actually was
Funny to see the online harms bill positioned as a blow against big tech when it will give them the power to make sweeping decisions on enforcement while simultaneously making it much harder for smaller competitors
Rule of politics: displays of strength are often signs of weakness. Online harms delegates many aspects of justice to tech companies. It's effectively an admission that the state can't do the work itself
Cold take: mutations happen all the time. I would like more information on this new variant, especially before it's linked to the rise of cases in the south east
The expert view on the variant is considerably more cautious than Matt Hancock's
As so often, @alanmcn1 puts it best. Catching this variant is a tremendous achievement, but study is ongoing, so *it is important to keep a calm and rational perspective* sciencemediacentre.org/expert-reactio…
Based on this and conversations with experts it seems as if the idea that the strain is faster-spreading is mainly conjecture
It's been found in the SE, where cases are rising, but *any* variant will be found in the the place with most cases. Correlation ≠ causation
Yesterday SAGE released a one-page document called "potential trajectories for covid-19 in the next six months"
It's not going to brighten your day, but it's one of the best summaries of where we are and where we're heading
Some notes 🧵
1. The “first” and “second” waves are very different
The second is growing much slower because of the impact of social distancing. Before this lockdown, contact rates were about half of pre-lockdown levels
But that's still not low enough.
2. Social distancing needs to be very extensive
SAGE: “With a basic reproduction number of 3, controls need to reduce infectious contacts by two thirds”
For a rough sense of what they means in practice, here's a chart of movement in London. It's been above 33% since June