This is very interesting and seems that the may/ shall makes a difference after all. Let me explain how this was done and what it means.

/1
What normally happens is that a claim for preferential origin is made at the time of import i.e. certificate demonstrating that the goods meet rules of origin is presented with the goods.

/2
There are usually options to claim preferential treatment afterwords. Retrospectively. But only in special circumstances.

This is possible under domestic legislation (amending customs declarations)

/3
This can also be occasionally mentioned in the text of the FTA itself. For example here 👇 in CETA.

It's usually done in a very non-comital way. "May" as we don't want to encourage traders to get into the habit of claiming retrospectively

/4 Image
Now, look at the wording of point 2 of the UK-EU text.

Not only do we have a dedicated article on the time of making a claim, it also uses "shall".

/5 Image
This made me think that there might be a reason for it and that traders will be given time to collect origin documentation and claim retrospectively during the initial period.

/6 Image
Written about this option on the 13th Dec and I have to admit the thought of everyone reclaiming duty at the same time was a bit much.

However, a year... that just might be enough

/7


A lot will depend on how it's done in practice:

1⃣ duty reclaim
2⃣ amending of customs declaration
3⃣ initial time-limited claim with retrospective proof

/8
But if done well this will provide an opportunity for companies that do not currently have the capacity and knowledge to trade under preferential tariffs to reclaim duty with nothing more than an impact on cashflow

/9
So this is very good news for businesses (Other than, you know, we really should not be in a position where this kind of solution is needed cause the text is so late, but hey).

/10
I'm assuming all this will be in the origin guidance that I'm told is done and ready to go and which we'll probably be betting on Monday (?)🤷‍♀️

/end

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More from @AnnaJerzewska

28 Dec
So on origin, it’s getting a bit hard to keep up with all the rumours so here is where I think we are with this (correct me if I missed something)

/1
Claiming origin.
Two ways for traders to claim origin under the EU-UK deal:

1⃣ Self-certification by the exporter (standard) – normally requires an authorisation, I’m hearing that might not be needed for UK-EU trade – waiting for guidance or more info

/2
2⃣ Self-certification by the importer (new(ish), in the EU-Japan deal and some continuity deals). UK importers have little experience with this one, but helpful guidance available given initial uncertainty around using this form of certification

/3
Read 11 tweets
26 Dec
While we're all digesting the details, quick point

There are two separate questions here:

1⃣ Is this a good deal for the UK vs what we had
2⃣ Is this a good FTA

And I think we should focus on the latter

/1
We’ve known the answer to the first question for years. The economic impact of an FTA is preferable only to a no deal outcome. But we’ve also known that these were the two option on the table for a while now.

/2
While I understand the sadness of losing so much, that actually happened a while back. And if you look at the EU list of what we've lost, most of it was to be expected

/3
Read 6 tweets
20 Dec
Once more, a reminder that for many firms this is the backdrop against which they are trying to finalise their Brexit prep:

1⃣ Continued uncertainty regarding deal/no-deal (tariffs)
2⃣ Ongoing pandemic and the impact on operations (staff, closures, stock)

/1
3⃣ Global supply chain crisis
4⃣ Congestion around the UK’s major container ports
5⃣ Disruptions at the UK's key ro-ro ports and queues

/2
6⃣ New lockdown rules and the loss of key retail period
7⃣ The new travel/movement restrictions and further delays this will cause to moving stock

/3
Read 6 tweets
20 Dec
Missed this. 18% of SMEs that believe they will be negatively impacted consider themselves prepared for 1 Jan (according to @fsb_policy).

18%. That is less than last year. With less than 2 weeks to go.

/1


eastmidlandsbusinesslink.co.uk/mag/news/less-…
68% of SMEs say it is due to ongoing uncertainty regarding the future deal and only 22% say it's due to covid which is surprising.

/2
While the Chairman calling for a "pro-enterprise free trade agreement" I hope it's clear that would only help in some areas.

/3
Read 4 tweets
13 Dec
Just as a reminder - without a freeze/ implementation period or some sort of derogation - no business on either side will be able to use the UK-EU FTA to avoid paying tariffs on 1 Jan even if we get one tomorrow.

It's already too late.

/1
Businesses simply won't have enough time to familiarise themselves with rules of origin, figure out whether their products meet them (larger companies have hundreds of SKUs) and understand what the certification requirements are.

/2
It is expected that companies would be able to self-certify origin under the UK-EU FTA but that is not always that straight forward and sometimes requires prior steps.

/3
Read 7 tweets
12 Dec
🚢This has been happening for the last few months: ships at anchor waiting, shipping lines cancelling orders and diverting, largest shipping lines refusing to accept new bookings

/1


ft.com/content/eb2105…
In the UK, this just the beginning - soon to be accompanied by the perfect Brexit storm.

/2
It was not the shock of the pandemic that sent shockwaves across the entire logistics industry but the rebound of trade in recent months.

/3
Read 5 tweets

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