Jawad Mian Profile picture
27 Dec, 18 tweets, 3 min read
1) This year has been difficult for many investors, whether you are a novice or an experienced risk taker.

It would be useful to revisit today's money masters and see how they dealt with gut-wrenching loss.

It always helps renew my ambition. THREAD 👇
2) Paul Tudor Jones lost $10,000 when he was 22, and when he was 25 he lost about $50,000, which was all he had to his name.
3) In 1979, PTJ's fourth year in the business, he lost over 60% of the equity in his clients’ accounts on a single cotton trade that went horribly wrong.

“I am not cut out for this business," he said. "I don’t think I can hack it much longer.”
4) Relating the episode to Jack Schwager in Market Wizards, he revealed:

"It was a cathartic experience for me, in the sense that I went to the edge, questioned my very ability as a trader, and decided that I was not going to quit. I was determined to come back and fight."
5) That was when he first decided that he had to learn discipline and money management.

As Richard Dennis used to say to new traders, “When you start, you ought to be as bad a trader as you are ever going to be.”
6) When at college, Louis Bacon decided to use his student loan money to try his hand at trading.

He lost money for three straight semesters—on sugar, gold, and cotton—and had to ask his father for money to pay his living expenses.

He didn’t turn a profit until his final year.
7) In 1985, Bacon was given $100,000 to manage at Commodities Corp. and and promptly lost a third of the capital.

He was so mortified that he returned the rest of the money back to the partners. It took a couple of years before he was coaxed into another try.
8) Bacon is among those rare investors who made money on the infamous Black Monday in October 1987, the tech crash in 2000, and the subprime crisis in 2007.

His success was built on, “Hard work, patience, knowing when to hold ‘em, fold ‘em, or go all in.”
9) In February 1981, at 28, Stan Duckenmiller launched Duquesne Capital with $1 million.

It was an easy decision because of a consulting arrangement on the side that provided $120,000 in revenues.

His fund performed well and assets swelled to $7 million by May 1982.
10) When his consulting client went belly-up, he had an immediate problem.

His 1% management fee only generated $70,000. His overhead per year was $180,000. At the time, the firm had assets of just under $50,000.
11) Worried about the firm’s survival, Stan placed a desperate bet.

He was convinced that interest rates would fall. He put all of the firm’s capital into T-bill futures.

In four days, he lost everything. To keep himself in business, he sold 25% of his company for $150,000.
12) Before we marvel at the success of others, we should think with what difficulty they have arrived at it.

There are important lessons in it for all of us.
13) PTJ says that every trader will face two unpleasant experiences in his lifetime at least once and most likely multiple times.
14) "First, after a devastatingly brutal and agonizing stretch of losing trades you’ll wonder if you will ever make a winning trade again.

That tests an individual’s grit; does he have the stamina, courage, guts, and smarts to get up and engage the battle again?"
15) "And second, there will come a point when you begin to ask yourself why it is you make money and if this is truly sustainable.

That is actually scarier because it acknowledges a certain lack of control over anything."
16) PTJ was almost 38 old when one day, in a moment of frightening enlightenment, he knew that he really did not know exactly how and why he had made all the money over the prior 17 years.
17) "This threw my confidence for a jolt," he said. "It sent me down a path of self-discovery that today is still a work in progress."
18) If you enter a bad trading patch, which occasionally besets every investor, remind yourself of their struggle and study how they coped with adversity.

Be willing to suffer with patience, with open eyes, and understanding.

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More from @jsmian

24 Dec
1) Shortly after I graduated from university, I landed a job as a bank teller in Toronto.

It was, surprisingly enough, one of the best things that happened to me.
2) I was shy growing up. I was always the quiet one among friends.

But as a bank teller I was forced to interact with everyone. This helped me break out of my shell.
3) lt was a small neighbourhood branch with a sociable atmosphere.

The branch manager was Italian, the two personal bankers were Indian and Spanish, the financial advisor was Greek, and my two side-kicks at the till were Irish and Canadian.
Read 15 tweets
18 Dec
1) Working correctly, the brain represents highest form of “instinctual wisdom,” Alan Watts once said.

But just thinking rigorously or applying more knowledge isn’t what he meant.

THREAD 👇
2) The brain can only assume its proper function when the mind is in a state of harmony and our consciousness is not trying to control and grasp.
3) When we are completely engaged with what we are doing in the here and now—and instead of calling it work, we realize it is play.
Read 22 tweets
14 Dec
1) On a long enough timeline, history repeats.

This much is clear reading Will and Ariel Durant’s The Lessons of History (1968).

As they write, “The past is the present unrolled for understanding.”

Here are some lessons that stuck with me. 👇
2) The first lesson is modesty.

Human history is a brief spot in space. Man is a moment in astronomic time.

Generations of men establish a growing mastery over the earth, but they are destined to become fossils in its soil. Image
3) Life is competition. Even cooperation is a tool and form of competition.

We cooperate in our group—our family, community, party, race, or nation—in order to strengthen our group in its competition with other groups.

The earth will unite only if here is interplanetary war.
Read 21 tweets
5 Dec
1) Investing in a bull market is hard enough; hearing it trivialized makes it unnecessarily harder.

In our latest issue, we discuss the far more powerful underlying forces, some outside of common understanding, that are at play.
2) The pandemic is a major displacement that will go down in history as setting new trends and social forces that spark a major bull market and mania.

We are still early in this uptrend.

stray-reflections.com/article/168/Th…
3) While the world balks at America’s failed response to a coronavirus pandemic, their economic management may yet prove to be superior.

stray-reflections.com/article/167/Am…
Read 5 tweets
5 Dec
1) The ancient Greek philosopher Epictetus said, “Be silent for the most part.”

What did he mean? Allow me to explain.

Thread. 👇
2) On August 29, 1952, the piano virtuoso David Tudor walked onto the stage of the barn-like Maverick Concert Hall on the outskirts of Woodstock in New York.

He sat at the piano, propped up six pages of blank sheet music, closed the keyboard lid, and clicked a stopwatch.
3) Thirty seconds passed.

The audience, a broad cross-section of the city’s classical musical community, waited for something to happen.
Read 24 tweets
4 Dec
1) In Greek mythology, Cassandra was a princess of the legendary city of Troy, and the most beautiful of King Priam’s daughters.

She was seduced by Apollo, who gave her the ability to predict the future.
2) When she refused herself to him, he cursed her by making people disbelieve her predictions.
3) So she went around knowing and predicting the future, telling people what was going to happen, but no one ever believed her.

She foresaw the fall of Troy, but couldn’t prevent it.
Read 13 tweets

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