Given @JudgeClayJ & @DCHHS aren't going to update the weekly summary tables, I'll explain why they stopped being transparent.

The failure to protect LTC residents has been a big part of the increase in hospitalizations and deaths...
1/8
@JJKoch @JWP03 @Johnson4Dallas @GovAbbott
Total cases are up 70% in Dallas County in the last 10 wks.

LTC cases are up 169% in Dallas County in that same timeframe.

This has led to a 70% increase in LTC deaths.
2/8
Dallas County used to report the # of LTC cases in its summary update with the table below.

Nov 3rd was the last time they showed it, right as the LTC cases started to rise. Fortunately the data is now available via DSHS.
3/8
Two weeks ago they stopped publishing the Tues/Friday Summary Tables altogether. This is where they break out the ages of cases, hospitalizations and deaths.

Again, the state reported numbers diverged vs what Dallas County was reporting so they stopped being transparent.
4/8
Under reporting deaths is nothing new for Dallas County. It has lagged the state by over 30% for some time and has only recently started to close the gap, right after they stopped reporting the details of the data.
5/8
Think LTC cases don't impact hospitalization rates, 2400 cases in high risk patients no doubt had an imact. You can see the correlation below.

Note the 30% increase from Wk 45-46 in Covid patients. There was an unexplained adjustment in how Covid patients are counted.
6/8
Adjusting for the Wk 45-46 adjustment, the correlation is even higher. LTC cases and Covid hospitalizations both rose 169% over the same time period.
7/8
What's the solution?
One, be transparent with the data.
Two, use the rapid tests to protect LTC residents. They're fast, inexpensive, and a way better use of resources vs using them on perfectly healthy student athletes with zero risk.
8/8
dallasnews.com/news/education…

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More from @GrumpyOldFrog1

22 Oct 20
The IFR for Covid is trending down in the US.
It is now around 0.20% for the entire country,
And trending lower…

The US got off to a very bad start, i.e., NYC, which skewed the #'s, and everyone's perception on the IFR.
(see below)
1/9
The "To Date" IFR is around 0.30-0.36%
This is what most "experts" use for their models, some are still higher.

The 30/60/90 day IFR is around 0.20%
That's 40% lower.

But what about…
2/9
Testing went up and thus cases went up.
And fatalities fell.

So of course the IFR went down, right.

Well yes...and no...
3/9
Read 9 tweets

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