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30 Dec 20, 12 tweets, 4 min read
No more Tiers? (Thread 1/11)
We've all seen the latest #COVID19 graphs showing the rate of infection spiralling upwards. The hospital admissions chart is the most scary, the level is now as high as the start of pandemic. So, it's clear the Tiers system isn't working..
2/ The Tiers haven't slowed the spread let alone cut it the way the first lockdown effectively did. Yet the government is still carrying on with Tiers despite it being obvious they're not working as Prof @chrischirp explains here..
3/ There urgently needs to be another, different approach, something that makes the graphs go down. It will be months at best, a year at worst before the vaccination programme will make an impact. Until then a growing infection rate risks more deaths and an overloading of..
4/ the NHS.

I don't know what the exact answer is on an alternative, be it a modified version of full lockdown, schools closure etc. The important thing is this debate needs to be had and had quickly in Parliament and on the mainstream media..
5/ The mainstream media have a crucial role in making sure this debate gets aired. Ministers need to be quizzed on why they think Tiers still works and what alternatives they're looking at. Soft answers like the one below aren't good enough..
6/ Experts like Independent SAGE need to be given airtime to share their alternatives. We need to move away form this "waiting for the white smoke" from No.10 approach. It hasn't worked. Left to their own devices they've made mistake after mistake from..
7/ ..from the beginning of the pandemic. It's not a coincidence we have one of the highest relative death rates in the developed world.

The Opposition need to step up too. Waiting for the Government to come up with an approach and then to simply ask questions of it and then..
8/..back it whatever it is, is simply not good enough. This approach has failed. If the Government is failing us by not having the right thinking, the Opposition MUST develop and put forward an alternative. If Starmer wants to be PM..
9/ he needs to start acting like one. That is something John Smith and then Tony Blair did well before the 1997 victory. They acted like the government in waiting with clear alternatives to what the Tories were doing. Starmer's follow Boris strategy doesn't make political..
10/ ..sense and is also damaging the country. It lets the Tories do again what they just done on Brexit, leave their plan as the only game in town versus the alternative of no plan.

So the media and Opposition need too step up, we need to pressure them to do that.
11/ No need to unroll, here's this Thread as blog for easier reading and for sharing outside of Twitter: dravalblog.wordpress.com/2020/12/30/no-…
I know some will also want to share on Facebook, so here this post is on there, ready to go! facebook.com/dravalblog/pos…

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More from @D_Raval

1 Jan
The Tory COVID Shambles

We didn't get to the bad place where we are on COVID by accident or luck, government mistake after mistake has got us here. This is my video look back on the road to here.
Not exhaustive, hopefully a record to spark your own memories..
(Thread 1/11)
2/ The first few months (from May 2020)

This clip from US news channel, CNN gives a summary of the first few months. We didn't then and haven't since seen anything like it on the BBC, Sky or ITV
3/ The first few months, December 2019 to May 2020 Detailed

A timeline of some of the key moments from the first few months of the pandemic. They got us to highest death toll in Europe in May.
(Based on a Thread by @imajsaclaimant )
Read 11 tweets
29 Dec 20
1/ Memory test - do you remember..
- Dyson ventilators?
- Nightingale hospitals?
- Putting "a ring around care homes" to keep them safe?
- The "world beating" test and trace app?
- Laptops for all the kids who don't have one to school at home?
2/
- The instant testing "moonshot"?
- The volunteer army?
- Some sort of programme to help abuse victims during COVID?

Depending on how you look at them these are either distractions or failures of the Tories during the pandemic. They were typically..
3/ launched at a press conference to distract from bad news on the battle against COVID. They either never took off or failed spectacularly. They're exactly the sort of tactic I expect from Tories. This is what a government does when it is failing..
Read 12 tweets
29 Oct 20
Starmer has snookered himself again with his decision to suspend Corbyn. He either has to follow the logic of the suspension and expel Jeremy, igniting a Labour civil war or he doesn't and gets called weak by the media and Tories..
(Thread 1 of 7)
2/ Starmer will find it hard to resist not expelling Corbyn. Almost every media question on his briefing today was on this. He will get it all the time. The Remainer extremists will push him hard on it too (see below). These are the people who backed him.
3/ Stamer has above all given the Tories a gift. Gove's letter to him is bare faced opportunism but it's set the political tone. These are the questions that will haunt Starmer and more so if he doesn't expel Jeremy.
Read 7 tweets
14 Oct 20
Thread - 5 root causes behind Johnson and the Tories shambles handling of #COVID19

1] The overriding focus on looking after their mates (eg turning a blind eye to breaking lockdown, handing out govt contracts / public money to them, giving them jobs)
2] Laziness to do the heavy lifting (eg develop an overall strategy, a communications strategy, to consult and negotiate with other stakeholders) instead things are done on the hoof, not planned, not properly consulted on) and no holiday is missed!
3] Arrogance not to learn from anyone else (eg the existing plans for pandemics, what the countries that managed COVID well did) and the need to invent their own solutions (eg the various moonshots, Dyson ventilators, track and trace app from scratch)
Read 6 tweets
13 Aug 20
A fair few notable anniversaries today for the Left. I’ve put them on this Thread.
We need to acknowledge and mark our history, mainstream media never will.
(1 of 6)
Read 7 tweets
7 Aug 20
1/ Thread on Starmer and the mess he's got himself into (1/11)

The thing about the #LabourLeaks fiasco is that it didn't have to be fiasco. That it is, is down entirely to Starmer.
2/ All he had to do is what Corbyn did, stay out of party squabbles, leave it to due process via the General Secretary and/or NEC to sort out. The same way PM's stay out of legal cases. Something you think a QC like Starmer should know by instinct.
3/ Yet he got involved from the start; not allowing due process to take place, eg suspensions pending investigation of the allegations in the leaks; starting an inquiry into how the leak happened not the allegations.
Read 12 tweets

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