1/ Dealing with an inferno of infectiousness.
We failed to do what was needed to keep this mess from getting out of control. Our situation is horrific and will soon get much worse due to end-of-year holidays + more infectious variant. Vaccine distribution also F grade to date.
2/ All of this means even greater mass casualties (for both those who live and die) in the coming months.
3/ Expect one-half million dead by end of February, a lot more of the following: refrigerated trucks outside of hospitals, hospitals faced with triage, schools that will not re-open, business closures, lost jobs, homeless, and (unfortunately) more.
4/ This makes FOCUSING on layered risk reduction that much more important. Since we have also failed at low-cost testing for families and businesses, let's at least focus on those things that we can do as individuals, businesses, etc.
5/ Universal mask wearing in all indoor spaces other than in own home with immediate family members (masks should be worn if any family member from outside of the household must visit for an essential reason).
6/ Avoid ALL non-essential indoor spaces. I am business-oriented and feel horrible about where we are, but we have put ourselves in such a hopeless place that I see no other way of starving this virus of its host.
7/ If you're able to help restaurants, take-out & tip HUGE. Order BIG, refrigerate for meals over several days. Purchase gift certificates from local businesses for use mos ahead. Continue gym membership for mos w/o attending. Time for $fortunate to step up & invest in community.
8/ Visit only ESSENTIAL indoor spaces outside of your own home, but if at all possible do not visit unless universal mask wearing is required and enforced. See @CorsIAQ pinned tweet for basics of the benefits of universal mask wearing.
9/ Physically distance, even when masks are worn in those ESSENTIAL indoor spaces. While the concentrated plume of aerosol particles from infector is dampened (dispersed) by a mask, close contact behind, to side of, or even in front of (depends on mask) can increase inhaled dose.
10/ For building owners, building managers, and business owners: INCREASE VENTILATION, whether that means opening outdoor air dampers, switching off demand-control ventilation systems, or both, or opening windows/door for buildings without air handling units.
11/ For building owners, building managers, and business owners: Require and enforce mandatory mask wearing by all staff and customers, and establish and enforce protocols for ample (6 ft or greater even w/ masks) physical distancing.
12/ For building owners, building managers, and business owners: De-densify (lower capacity) as much as possible using appropriate queuing of customer entry and allowing as many employees to work from home as is possible.
13/ For building owners, building managers, and business owners: Improve or add engineering controls for far-field (not close contact) inhalation dose. Many will recirculate some indoor air. Improve filtration in mechanical system to MERV-13 (if possible) & MERV-11/12 if not.
14/ Employ portable HEPA air cleaners in small (e.g., less than 1,000 sq. ft w/ 10 ft or less ceiling height). Look for HEPA units without gimmicks and CADR of 300 scfm.
15/ These can be useful for lowering the # of virus-laden particles from air in smaller businesses, e.g., small stores, dental offices. The equivalent increase in ventilation (per hour) = CADR x 60/(A x Z). Here CADR in ft3/min, A = floor area (in ft2), Z = ceiling ht (ft).
16/ Example, a 600 square foot store w/ 10 ft ceiling w/ a portable HEPA air cleaner with CADR = 300 ft3/min is equivalent to an increase in ventilation of 3/hr.
17/ Consider use of upper-room or in-duct ultraviolet germicidal irradiation (UVGI). As with filtration, in-duct UVGI is only useful if there is recirculation of indoor air and not simply distribution of 100% outdoor air in supply ducts.
18/ Note that for UVGI and filtration in mechanical system, effectiveness increases with degree of air recirculation, which means some risk of virus-laden particle dispersal between rooms as well as potential for much lower outdoor air intake in many systems.
19/ This is where portable filtration systems and upper-room UVGI have some advantages.
20/ Still for building owners, building managers, and business owners: Make use of time. Employ staggered work hours over extended work days to de-densify. Allow for worker shifts for outdoor mask breaks.
21/ If infectors leave a building for periods as short as 20 minutes, virus-laden aerosol particle concentrations in indoor air may declines by a factor of 10 to 20 under appropriate ventilation conditions and employment of proper engineering controls.
22/ Be conscious of horrific situation we are in. Remember that you may feel great while being highly infectious. Protect yourself AND those around you. Become more educated on inhaled deposited dose, related factors, and how to "turn knobs" to reduce.
23/ Help to educate others, whether family members, employers, employees, friends, legislators, etc. There is so much great advice about lowering exposure (and dose) of virus-laden aerosol particles. See @linseymarr, @ShellyMBoulder, @jljcolorado, @Don_Milton, more ...
24/ @kprather88, @ProfCharlesHaas, @Wymelenberg, @IAQinGWN, @WBahnfleth, @HuffmanLabDU, @CathNoakes, @gcmorr & a bunch of other great colleagues that I will soon kick myself for forgetting to list 😟
25/ I've also posted a blog on inhaled deposited dose, webinars, & links to important resources from others here: corsiaq.com. Adding more links soon.

Let's battle this virus every second of every day and starve it of its hosts. Let's save lives. Just do it!

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More from @CorsIAQ

27 Dec 20
1/ Teaching Indoor Air Quality

I taught both undergraduate and graduate indoor air quality classes for many yrs at UT Austin. Proud of the fact that many current professors (and some department chairs) took my courses as students & are now teaching a new generation.
2/ I loved infusing my research into lectures, having students bring different scented products to the classroom, exposing them to a small amount of ozone and measuring ultrafine particle formation (image). We also measured rebreathed fraction in the classroom, etc.
3/ Every class would have an assignment with CO2 analyzers checked out to groups w/ 1 wk to measure avg CO2 concentrations and rebreathed fraction & then use the Rudnick-Milton model to estimate probability of common cold & flu transmissions across campus (50+ locations/class)
Read 12 tweets
25 Dec 20
1/ "To prevent the virus from spreading, companies that needed employees to return to in-person work put up plexiglass barriers, implemented daily temperature checks and required workers to wear masks while in proximity to others." What's wrong with this picture?
2/ Plexiglas barriers are not very effective at reducing transmission by aerosol particles. Temperature checks do not catch pre-symptomatic, asymptomatic, or symptomatic infectors w/o fever. Masks "while in proximity of others" = unacceptable. Masks at all times indoors.
3/ And we wonder why there are outbreaks in the workplace. LRRS = Layered Risk Reduction Strategy, not LRR Shortcut. LRRS must be done based on layered interventions that make scientific sense. Performance = sad. Almost a year in, folks. What will it take to get this right?
Read 5 tweets
23 Dec 20
1/ More results (year 1) of our Healthy High School PRIDE study. Here we show a cumulative distribution plot of average rebreathed fraction (RF) of air in classrooms during the occupied day. RF is actually converted to a percentage on the vertical axis.
2/ Note that a rebreathed fraction of 0.03 (3%), for example, means that 3% of every inhaled breath originated from the collective respiratory systems of others in the indoor space (including anyone infected with COVID-19).
3/ In my recent USEPA webinar on layered risk reduction strategies for schools I argued for a maximum RF < 0.008 (0.8%) for classrooms during this pandemic. That translates to an average CO2 concentration of less than 700 ppm.

Read 7 tweets
23 Dec 20
1/ Plots from our Healthy High School PRIDE (Partnership in Research on Indoor Environments) project, a 4-yr USEPA funded study and intense analysis of 46 high school classrooms in Central Texas.
2/ Plot A shows air exchange rate in permanent and portable classrooms in the unoccupied setting (end of school day to start of next school day). The x is mean value and central line on bars is median. Variation shown via percentiles and min/max.
3/ The mechanical systems were off in plot A. All ventilation was via infiltration. Note much lower values and spread for permanent classrooms. Portable classrooms are connected directly to outdoors, leakier, and prone to greater ventilation by infiltration.
Read 6 tweets
20 Dec 20
1/ @CDCgov has bought into layered inhalation dose, and therefore risk, reduction strategies. Pleased by this recognition, but not ready to shower the agency with adulation. The agency's credibility has taken a hit. I want to see a sustained effort of focus & doing right.
2/ My life has been about looking forward. But it is difficult not to reflect on where we would have been today had recognition of inhalation of virus-laden aerosol particles in both the near and far fields been recognized by @CDC 10 months ago.
3/ Future planning for the next pandemic or continued battle with SARS-CoV-2 must rely on continued innovation, but also on a deep forensics analysis of all of the failures (on so many fronts - not just @CDC) that fueled an inferno of infection in the US & elsewhere.
Read 4 tweets
4 Dec 20
1/ This did not have to be.

Over 100,000 Americans currently in hospitals with COVID-19 and over 210,000 new cases today. We are converging on and will soon surpass the 9/11 death toll EVERY SINGLE DAY. And we are going to see a huge surge in the next several weeks & months.
2/ Hospital infrastructure is strained. Morgues have overflown. Front line health care workers are physically and mentally exhausted. This is a tragedy inside of a catastrophe.
3/ Despite all of this, too many people refuse to do what is needed to starve this virus of its hosts. Too many are too accepting of the death and devastation. Too many are fueling an inferno of infectiousness. It's all been said before, but ....
Read 14 tweets

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