1/
interesting thread, mostly solid, except the economic & political predictions.
interesting thread, mostly solid, except the economic & political predictions.
https://twitter.com/SimonDeDeo/status/1344343118058033159
2/
the political alignments aren't shifting, because the current ones did *exactly* what the established wanted: they kept the establishment in power; Reps as "spicy opposition"; DSA as "far left bogeyman"; Dems as "moderates in between".
the political alignments aren't shifting, because the current ones did *exactly* what the established wanted: they kept the establishment in power; Reps as "spicy opposition"; DSA as "far left bogeyman"; Dems as "moderates in between".
3/
the economics point is a bit subtler:
- there is no need to *publicly* punish or shame anybody, because no group has been *officially* blamed for the economic meltdown
- no major economic players enter or leave the political scene (only the small & medium businesses)
the economics point is a bit subtler:
- there is no need to *publicly* punish or shame anybody, because no group has been *officially* blamed for the economic meltdown
- no major economic players enter or leave the political scene (only the small & medium businesses)
4/
one important caveat to the economy:
if neoliberals or neocons (Bidenites or McConnellites) get into power, they'll *publicly* apply the usual stimulus/austerity. that'd depress the economic *mood* a lot.
on the flipside, the Coof worries would fade away rapidly (2 months).
one important caveat to the economy:
if neoliberals or neocons (Bidenites or McConnellites) get into power, they'll *publicly* apply the usual stimulus/austerity. that'd depress the economic *mood* a lot.
on the flipside, the Coof worries would fade away rapidly (2 months).
5/
college debt: lol no
the parties gain nothing from solving it. instead they would be *losing* the evergreen, easy promise (Dems) - or the perennial bogeyman (Reps).
the voters churn through it anyway - adults mostly age out from the clg. loans bracket over 2 election cycles.
college debt: lol no
the parties gain nothing from solving it. instead they would be *losing* the evergreen, easy promise (Dems) - or the perennial bogeyman (Reps).
the voters churn through it anyway - adults mostly age out from the clg. loans bracket over 2 election cycles.
6/
the self-driving car is good catch: possible break-away success.
been lingering for several years now - chances are nothing much happen.
but maybe, just *maybe*, the cars become mostly autonomous. that'd change *a lot* - social life, commuting, food & goods orders, childcare
the self-driving car is good catch: possible break-away success.
been lingering for several years now - chances are nothing much happen.
but maybe, just *maybe*, the cars become mostly autonomous. that'd change *a lot* - social life, commuting, food & goods orders, childcare
7/
further into the future:
2024: a big change to watch out is rollout of the SpaceX's Starlink.
fast, reliable rural internet will allow productive people to disperse more from the cities, with all the attendant political & economics shifts.
other than that, who knows :-)
further into the future:
2024: a big change to watch out is rollout of the SpaceX's Starlink.
fast, reliable rural internet will allow productive people to disperse more from the cities, with all the attendant political & economics shifts.
other than that, who knows :-)
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