Want to be tra soarent since ive been so vocal on $trit that last night i reached out again given some discrepancies in financial statements related to account receivables being so high and their platform costs not being in r&d but in investing cash flows (higher ebitda shown)
While the comoany has not gotten back to me on the details of my additional questions they did say that they dont plan to have any formal quarter results for the q they just provided estimates for... they said their press release saying 17M rev plus 10M net income is all we get
Said their auditor kpmg is “budy” till january and would take thrm 30 days to do and by Feb it will be old news and they think spending 50k on that doesnt make sense. The next formal financial results they will provide will be for year end in feb and they said they have 120 days
So officially they might not have anything new until May of next year in terms of financials? They fo plan on releasing more press releases in the meantime to let investors know how theyre doing but PR’s are very different from formal results and numbers.
To be up front I REALLY dont like this and to me this doesnt make sense so again given a lot of people have relied upon my work here i wanted to get this out so ppl can decide for themselves what to do.
Ive decided to sell $trit. I found myself looking for rebuttals to every bear case however as soon as I refute one another issue pops up. Poor price action plus statement from company in regards to financials...thats it for me, hopefully im wrong, everyone make ur own decision
Spent hours last night going through every page of this which wasnt easy to find sec.report/Document/00012…
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Just spent an hour on the phone with $trit IR: 1) company has 56 employees of which 6 are engineers related to the platform who are managed by Ashish. The key is in addition they outsource to India additional 50-80 tech contractors at any given time who they used to launch Kratos
2) srinivas is a controlling investor in Rhodium but company has full time CEO and CFO and he doesnt control and is not privy to the day to day operations of the company. $trit started through him seeing a need for a better way to trade more effectively through Rhodium experience
They of course used Rhodium & its relationships with parties it does business with as the first customers of their platform which youd expect. In June 2019 related party rev was 100%, down to 26.5% by Feb 2020 & last q down to under 10% as they onboard more 3rd parties.
Some $trit thoughts: 1) def some red flags here however at this valuation vs the 65% rev growth rate and solid profitability i think its already more than reflected in the price of the stock here. Without these red flags i dont see why this stock wouldnt be 2-3x this price now
2) Lot of ppl looking at the connection between the founder of $trit and the company that has the financial issues ehich he also controls however did anyone listen to the update call? Company explained many customers in space affected by covid & asking for longer payment terms
3) Everyone understands & grants these terms (including lenders) except this one time for this customer the lender associated with the transaction didnt agree which is y rhodium has the issue. Company said the transaction in question was NOT even done through $trit’s platform!
$rkt IR responded. No comment on dividends or accelerated buyback which isnt surprising but did give a good response to my question on thr 21B in loans held on balance sheet. Doesnt seem like an issue to those concerned about it as 97% sold to govt and average days held is 18
From their 8k on 12/18. Funding facility has 29.3B as of 12/18 so plenty of funding
So basically shorts who think the 21B is debt or presents a risk to $rkt are dead wrong as company shows 97% of loans sold to govt (fannie/freddie) and only 2% to other parties last q. Average days held just 18 and company itself says this presents an “insignificant risk”
Been seeing lot of bullishness on $ozon. Not negative on it but not very high on it either. Honestly wouldnt surprise me to see it drop further & hit ipo price of $30/share at some point. Growth has def accelerated and expected to be 55% cagr next 5 yrs but seems too optimistic
Negatives: lot of competition & not even leader in its own space in Russia. What happened to owning the best & paying up for that? This clearly not it as seems more an example of this is what we’ve got available to invest in so lets work with it & frame narrative around the stock
Russia is a vast territory so delivery, logistics, & warehousing will never be as profitable and with the weather much more challenging. Also concerned about potential retaliation (tariffs, sanctions) when biden gets into office. Most of russia economy is oil and precious stones
$gogo why I’m long:
$gogo sold it’s CA biz for $400M in cash plus 17M/yr rev guarantee. Before sale company had 117M cash and 1.126B debt paying 120M a year in interest expense however the CA biz was where all the losses were. The remaining BA biz is actually profitable
Last q $gogo broke out that BA biz had operating income of 22M for the q, after subtracting 31M in interest expense they lost 9M. After sale of Ca biz they now have 460M in cash which they plan to pay down debt & refinance the 10% interest. They estimate this will save 50M/yr $
$gogo said they plan to refinance debt before May (which is why I bought May calls) & that its their top priority. $gogo has history of outperforming timelines, they said CA biz sale would happen before end of 1q and they finished it in Dec, expect refinance well before May
been looking in detail into $fubo & their financials & unless im a complete idiot being an investor in this stock at these levels is madness. Dont want to appear all knowing so please correct me if wrong (especially after My Tesla post) as dont want to Lways appear negative...
1) as far as I can see $fubo loses money on every subscriber & thats before any additional costs such as SG&A, r&d, broadcasting transmission are even added in. This company has a negative gross margin. Best comparison is their subscriber revs r like $roku hardware revs but worse
2) Ad revs make up 12% of $fubo’s revs so again in comparison to $roku which has 65% of revs as advertising with 60%+ margins and hardware revs at least contributing positive margins to gain users for their ad revs $fubo is completely backwards & again has negative gross margins