1\ Rumors of overwhelmed hospitals have become so lurid in South Africa that a chain of urgent care centers had to put out a press release denying the rumors

Let's step through the release
2\ First, the "sleeping on floors with no CPR being performed" stuff is a social media fantasy. It's not happening:
3\ General beds are at 60-91% occupancy

Some ICU wards are at full capacity

*If* they run out of capacity, they will divert patients to other facilities

This is so common in hospital systems that most hospitals have dedicated "Diversion" web pages for ambulances to consult
4\ Is South Africa having a 2nd wave? Yes

Is it anything that hospital systems around the world don't routinely deal with? No

Hospitals are busy places. They're also businesses, so they don't flex capacity up until they need it

Here's the US in 2018:

dailymail.co.uk/health/article…
5\ And when you see headlines about a South African public hospital "out of capacity" for COVID-19, please know that this is as meaningful as saying "long lines at DMV"

Public hospitals in SA are always a mess:

iol.co.za/news/south-afr…

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Bachman

Bachman Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @ElonBachman

29 Dec 20
1\ I'm reading "Age of Entitlement", which is a solid survey of post-1960s American culture

It stumbles fatally wherever it touches economics, so I can't recommend it in full

But it brought me a MAJOR epiphany about "political correctness" and its malignant offspring "wokeness"
2\ The puzzling thing about PC culture is how everyone follows it while simultaneously mocking it

Its absurdities are obvious and contemptible, the butt of a thousand jokes

Time and again, I've asked myself, "How does this movement spread if only a few crazies believe in it?"
3\ For a while I thought it was a case of institutions bowing to the pressure of loud college kids, merely to stay out of the papers

But watching society inflict real harm on itself by institutionalizing the new racism of "wokeness" made me question this simple explanation
Read 13 tweets
28 Dec 20
1\ Like many countries, South Africa is using the specter of "pediatric deaths" to justify a second lockdown

It's complete nonsense

In a country of 59 million, something like 30 healthy people under the age of 19 have died of COVID-19:
2\ By comparison, flu/pneumonia kill around 2,500 people in South Africa under the age of 14 every year

That's right, flu/pneumonia is about 100x more of a risk to youngsters than COVID-19
Read 4 tweets
28 Dec 20
1\ Good news: I found evidence that lockdowns work!

Bad news: they "work" at stopping tuberculosis testing in Africa

The red lines below show when South Africa imposed lockdown measures

TB testing fell in half:
2\ TB is no joke. In terms of life years lost, it's far worse than COVID-19

TB kills north of 400,000 annually in Africa and 1.5 million globally, with a heavy toll among the young and middle aged

EVERY YEAR
3\ Bizarrely, there is 100 years of medical guidance on TB, all of which says:

--Don't stay in side. Get people outside (so why are we closing parks and beaches?)

--Treat care homes like powder kegs (so why did we jam them full of hospital discharges?)

Read 4 tweets
27 Dec 20
South Africa is locking down again because "hospitals are overwhelmed"

This is a lie. There are 1,300 COVID-19 patients in ICU across the country's 600 hospitals.

That's about two ICU patients per hospital
A contact writes that an ambulance was turned away from 6 hospitals in KZN yesterday, & that hospitals are pulling docs out of retirement

Not sure what's going on. COVID numbers remain small.

Is this just bureaucrats mistaking each other's contingency plans for reality?
Total COVID-19 hospital occupancy in South Africa is lower today than at the prior peak in summer

Hospitals were never swamped in summer

So either South Africa is just lying about current COVID-19 caseload, or hospitals are full of other patients...
Read 6 tweets
22 Dec 20
1\ This thread commemorates those brave politicians who didn't let lockdowns slow them down

Send me other examples by DM, and I'll add them

First, Deborah Birx: retiring in disgrace after gathering 2 households and 4 generations for a Thanksgiving party

nypost.com/2020/12/22/dr-…
2\ Then there was Nancy Pelosi, who helped shutter a nation of small businesses before arranging to see her stylist

Hey, at least she liberally disinfected herself with vodka

edition.cnn.com/2020/09/02/pol…
3\ And who can forget Gavin Nuisance, gleefully presiding over the nation's longest and most severe lockdown, while breaking the law to dine at French Laundy

nypost.com/2020/11/18/gov…
Read 80 tweets
22 Dec 20
1\ Here are the best books I read in 2020 (thread)

Putting it out there a bit early, because nothing in my hopper promises to make the list

2019's list is linked in the first tweet
2\ The Passionate State of Mind and Other Aphorisms (Hoffer)

and

The True Believer: Thoughts on the Nature of Mass Movements (Hoffer)
3\ The Myth of National Defense (Hoppe)

and

The Vision Revolution: How the Latest Research Overturns Everything We Thought We Knew About Human Vision (Changizi)
Read 25 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!