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Gavan Reilly Profile picture
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1 Jan, 5 tweets, 2 min read
#COVID19ireland:
1754 cases; 11 deaths

Previous Fridays:
25/12: 1025
18/12: 582
11/12: 313
04/12: 265
27/11: 206

5-day average: 1480.6

7-day average: 1349
(Previous 7 days: 839)

14-day cases/100k: 321.6
(7 days ago: 181.4)

In hospital: 490
In ICU: 42
@VirginMediaNews
☝🏻 Correction: 504 in hospital, of whom 47 are in ICU
Today's figures have a note from Philip Nolan on the gap between swabs and cases:

"Positive tests detected in laboratories require validation (to remove duplicates and other tests that do not create new cases) and transfer to the HPSC database before confirmation and reporting…
Nolan: "A very large volume of positive tests in recent days means there is a delay in formal reporting.

"In excess of 9,000 additional new cases will be reported over the coming days."
He says the delay in reporting does not affect the management of those individual cases, nor the contact tracing or overall monitoring. It's basically a statistical lag and nothing more.

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More from @gavreilly

Gavan Reilly Profile picture
2 Jan
THREAD: As we know there are now personnel and technological limits as to how many new 'confirmed cases' of Covid-19 will be reported every day - the backlog of cases to be officially announced is 9,000+ and likely to keep growing.

So how will we know how many cases there are?
(there isn't supposed to be an element of suspense here, my browser has crashed while posting the thread)
Great, the browser crashed and took the thread with it. 🙃
Read 9 tweets
Gavan Reilly Profile picture
31 Dec 20
#COVID19ireland:
1620 cases; 12 deaths

Previous Thursdays:
24/12: 922
17/12: 484
10/12: 310
03/12: 183
26/11: 335

5-day average: 1278.6

7-day average: 1244.9
(Previous 7 days: 775.7)

14-day cases/100k: 296.7
(7 days ago: 166.0)

In hospital: 490
In ICU: 42
@VirginMediaNews
NEW: NPHET tells Govt that even if R is reduced to 1.4 from yesterday, case numbers will rise to 2000+ daily by Jan 9, and 3000 daily by Jan 23… by which point the number of cases in hospital would surpass 1000.
For context on that: that's double the 490 cases in hospital this lunchtime, and would amount to occupying almost EVERY spare public hospital bed in Ireland.

Yesterday morning, for example, there were 623 available beds across the public hospital system.
Read 12 tweets
Gavan Reilly Profile picture
30 Dec 20
Confirmed at post-Cabinet press conference (now underway) that the proposed cuts to PUP from February 1 will *NOT* take place - rates will be remain at current levels until end of March at least
This is put to the Taoiseach. "Schools will reopen on January 11th."

He says the delay gives school communities a chance to deep-clean their facilities and pursue whatever other resources they need.
Taoiseach estimates today's measures will mean another 40,000 people having to access the PUP. He says Budget 2021 set aside a contingency fund for purposes like this
Read 8 tweets
Gavan Reilly Profile picture
30 Dec 20
Full list of Level 5 measures here: gov.ie/en/publication…

Here's the summary: Image
The Level 5 measures announced this evening take effect from midnight TONIGHT, December 30, with the sole exception of the retail restrictions and gyms/leisure/pools which will shut from close of business tomorrow.
@VirginMediaNews
There are to be no gatherings, indoor or outdoor - other than small numbers at funerals and weddings, or for outdoor exercise where people can meet with ONE other household.
Read 7 tweets
Gavan Reilly Profile picture
30 Dec 20
Taoiseach speaking now. "On Christmas Eve we received the news we had feared - confirmation that the new strain is indeed in our country… we are dealing with a strain of the disease that spreads much much more quickly" and quicker than any previous model
"The numbers will deteriorate further over the coming days… we will do what we need to do to suppress the virus when it is growing, and it is now growing expoentially"
Taoiseach: "We must return to full-scale Level 5 restrictions for a period of at least one month."

No visitors permitted to private homes from TONIGHT unless part of a support bubble, or for caring purposes
Read 8 tweets
Gavan Reilly Profile picture
30 Dec 20
1,718 #covid19ireland cases and 13 deaths reported today…
#COVID19ireland:
1718 cases; 13 deaths

Previous Wednesdays:
23/12: 938
16/12: 431
09/12: 227
02/12: 270
25/11: 269

5-day average: 1213.8

7-day average: 1145.1
(Previous 7 days: 713.1)

14-day cases/100k: 272.7
(7 days ago: 153.2)

In hospital: 455
In ICU: 37
@VirginMediaNews ImageImageImage
@President_MU: "The reproduction number remains very high and is currently estimated at 1.6-1.8. The growth rate is estimated to be 7-10% per day with a doubling time of 7-10 days"

@CMOIreland: "Ireland is no longer in a containment phase and is once again in a mitigation phase"
Read 4 tweets

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