The most pathetic negotiation tactics from HMG. FS was THE prize asset. Yet they are now trying to negotiate from a position of total weakness with nothing to trade in exchange.
The EU will enter only into a non-binding MoU (as non binding as the Political Declaration which Johnson reneged on a few weeks after signing it). But it will retain its power over FS though it unilateral equivalence decisions. In exchange for a few concessions- agreement not to
withdraw equivalence without prior consultation - the UK will agree to consult with the EU on any proposed new regulation. Significant divergence will be impossible because of the implicit threat of withdrawal of equivalence by the EU.
Worse: this "negotiation" is taking place at a time when the EU has only granted 2 FS sectors the equivalence authorisation because it was in its interests.The UK could not be in a weaker position. It has virtually nothing to trade. Parliament approved the PCA, Johnson signed it.
The tactic of pretending to be ready for no deal backfired spectacularly. With its back to the wall Johnson had to agree a deal which left its most important piece check mate.
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Beyond pious platitudes, Labour has about a year to come up with a plan on: 1. a genuine Constitutional reform including a new voting system to reverse the Executive power grab. This requires working closely with the other opposition parties & associating them to the plan
2. a clear set of domestic policies on people's priorities: education, housing, protecting jobs, the environment, helping science, lucid tax & funding plans with the truth being told about the situation we are in. A massive task
3. a clear strategic vision of Britain's place in the world to build a country at ease with itself but lucid about its true place 4. a plan on building upon the PTA drawn in pragmatic rather than ideological terms but with a clear set of deliverables.
Yesterday I spent time (&far too many tweets) trying to defend @Keir_Starmer 's position in a Guardian article which angered & disappointed many who, like me, are passionate pro-Europeans. I will try to explain why (thread)
Starmer is like me a lawyer, not a trade specialist but he obviously took advice. He is also a committed pro-European. As a lawyer when looking at the TCA, I saw all the predicted negatives but also enormous potential for a pro-EU government which results from the
institutional structure of the deal. The TCA sets up 19 specialised committees (including on Customs Cooperation, SPS, Technical Barriers to Trade) dominated by an all powerful 50/50 Partnership Council (PC) which takes binding decisions with immediate direct effect by agreement.
An excellent thread from an expert of the ecosystem for the UK car industry. I have been doing many cotporate deals in the automotive & engineering sectors of the Midlands
Every word in the thread is true. Note: it was analysed & predicted by excellent reports notably from the UK Trade Observatory. Yet many of those prosperous aging mid size companies owners of the Midlands voted Leave. I emailed the reports to clients to try to warn them.
They shrugged. I hope the ecosystem can withstand the impact of this deal until a Labour government wins power. Many issues can be improved on in this deal without dramas or Parliamentary votes.
“I thought it was a bit harsh to try to cut the rest of Europe off from our fish completely,” he said. “To be honest we don’t have the fleet to catch all the fish. If they suddenly said: ‘All the fish is yours’, actually we don’t have anything to catch it with.”
There’s never been much help for the fishing industry in the UK compared to other countries where their governments back them, give them grants for new boats,” he said. “That’s why our fleet is second-hand Dutch and Belgian boats."
I am so fed up with this repeated Brexiters' lie that "the EU sent Cameron packing" that I did this thread to bookmark for future reference This is what Cameron secured:
1. Sovereignty:
- commitment to exempt Britain from "ever closer union" to be written into the treaties, a very big deal for the EU
-inclusion of a new "red-card" mechanism. If 55% of national parliaments agreed, they could effectively block or veto a commission proposal.
2. Migrants & Welfare
-four-year "emergency brake" on in-work benefits
- child benefit amount linked to the cost of living in the countries where the children live.
-EU migrants are banned from claiming jobseeker's allowance for three months.
FGS @UKLabour stop the childish quarrels Behave like responsible adults. @labourlewis@BenBradshaw, @RichardGCorbett If is hardly a surprise that the TCA is sub-standard. It was know it was taking us out of FoM, the SL & CU. Why act surprised? (thread)
2/This meant necessarily only basic provisions for services& minimal facilitation for trade in goods. Within those constraints, there is a lot to build upon in this deal. The EU had tied the UK into multiple processes which will force collaboration (as on the NI Committee)