My completely uninformed guess about next week's schedule (in order):

SAT
Ravens-Titans
Bills - Colts
Seahawks-Rams

SUN
Bucs - NFCE
Browns-Steelers
Bears-Saints
Ravens-Titans is great from a football perspective but those are 2 tiny markets
I think this means the Sunday night game next week will be an AFC team
lmao I got almost everything wrong, good try, good effort
Next week's schedule

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More from @benbbaldwin

4 Jan
Lunch break chart dump for final 2020 regular season numbers Image
Sheesh Packers/Bills Image
Rodgers finishes with a big lead over everyone Image
Read 9 tweets
4 Jan
Thread with final numbers from @ben_bot_baldwin

NFL teams almost never go for it when they shouldn't, rarely go for it when it's a toss-up, and usually kick when the model has a moderate "go for it" lean.

They are still very conservative Image
Another view:

NFL teams almost always kick when they should, but often kick when they should be going for it unless the "go for it" recommendation is extremely strong Image
The worst decision of the year, by far, was Kliff Kingsbury sending out his kicker on 4th & 1, down 3, with 1:58 left in the game against the Dolphins.

One could argue that this decision cost his team a playoff spot. Image
Read 6 tweets
2 Jan
The line has moved a decent bit (h/t @robpizzola , @ClevTA)

I've been owned here Image
Read 4 tweets
2 Jan
Lawrence looking like Ryan Tannehill out there. Could be one of the greats
Going to form all my draft takes of Justin Fields based on the 1-2 drives that happen before I go to bed
gdi I don't think I've ever been as owned
Read 4 tweets
16 Dec 20
Taking a closer look at ESPN's win probability model and this spike in Cleveland's WP was caused by a 9 yard Baltimore run on 1st & 10, which caused CLE WP to go from 55% to 75%

????????????????
In ESPN's win probability model, a 4 yard Trace McSorley run on 1st & 10 with more than 13 minutes left increased Cleveland's win probability from 18% to 34%

??????????
Another fun one (h/t @jsnstz)

Packers with a 4% chance of winning down by 3 with 2nd & 10 from the opponent 47 with 45 seconds left
Read 6 tweets

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