1/ Comments on pro-Trump protest from a professor who studies protest. Step #1: These protests are more performance, less coup.
2/ Protests vary in their goals and tactics. While pro-Trump/MAGA protests may claim that a conspiracy altered the election, the truth is probably more mundane.
3/ The #ElectoralCollegeRiot likely represents the alt.right's attempt to grab the spotlight one last time before Dem's control the legislature and White House.
4/ For a few folks who put the President in a religious light, it may represent a Masada-style last stand. Otherwise, I view this sort of antic as a sort of pro-wrestling style spectacle for the alt.right.
5/ Also important to realize that violence and riots often undermine a movement, as much social science research shows. As I type this, GOP Congress members are coming out against the #ElectoralCollegeRiot.
6/ Some observers think "coup." True, coups often start by having coup-leaders discredit mainstream institutions. But that's not the whole story.
7/ If a true coup were happening, we'd see some folks more substantial than MAGA nerds out. Instead, courts have tossed Trump lawsuits, GOP sec of states have certified votes, and even Pence, allegedly, has informed the boss that time's up.
8/ On a deeper level, the police and military of this country seem to be of the belief that Biden will be president on Jan 20, 2021. The #ElectoralCollegeRiot will not stop that.
9/ Let me close with an ethical note: violence, in most cases, is highly immoral. Even this circus style #ElectoralCollegeRiot will but police, DC residents, Fed employees and even the rioters themselves at risk of harm. This must be condemned.
10/ Bottom Line: The #ElectoralCollegeRiot is not the beginning of some sort of neo-fascist revolution. It's the social media friendly performance of a group of rather marginal people. Let's make sure it stays that way.

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More from @fabiorojas

6 Jan
1/ Something can be very bad but not a coup. More thoughts on the #ElectoralCollegeRiot from a professor who studies protest.
2/ Some folks are concerned that by calling this a riot, rather than coup, you are implictely dismissing what is happening. Not true. By using hyperbole, you are platforming people who should be marginalized and ignored.
3/ From a social science perspective, the #ElectoralCollegeRiot fits a long term pattern of political riots aimed at harming or intimidating others, such as anti-Black race riots and political urban riots of earlier American history.
Read 9 tweets
7 Jun 20
1/ Is police abolition "on the table" in Minneapolis? Last week, I thought "no," but people told me that it was. So I decided to dig into this a bit and see what is actually on the table. Spoiler: Still "no," but there are people on the city council who are serious about it.
2/ Summary - police abolition is the belief that police departments should be eliminated or drastically reduced. Public safety would then be provided through other mechanisms. The question: Is Minneapolis really about to "pull the plug" on its police?
3/ I found at least two Minn city council members and the council president saying that on record that would "disband" or "dismantle." Councilmember Fletcher even has an op-ed in Time promoting the idea. Read it here. time.com/5848705/disban…
Read 19 tweets
29 May 20
1/ What are the long term effects of violent protest? This is a topic that I have personally researched.
2/ Being upfront: I am antiwar and anti-violence in general. So take that as you will in the following analysis.
3/ Social scientists who have studied protest have long asked: does violence get you political concessions?
Read 12 tweets
25 May 20
1/ Developing the intuition behind "reopen" position. Here are a few things to assimilate into your thinking.
2/ Thought experiment: What if you knew with 100% certainty that no vaccine or therapy would be available in your lifetime? Then, you would need some form of "reopen" as you would not think about isolating yourself from humanity for ever.
3/ Furthermore, more and more functions would need to be done and people would need to go back to work, even "non-essential" occupations.
Read 10 tweets
22 May 20
1/ "Reopen" should be the default position of sociologists.
2/ A central idea in sociology is that relationships and communities matter. People with social ties are healthier, our culture improves our lives. This is impeded with indefinite shut down.
3/ Another finding of sociology is that unemployment and poverty are devastating. Shut downs create massive unemployment. Our official unemployment rate is 14% right now. Brutal. Image from tradingeconomics.com/united-states/…
Read 9 tweets
29 Mar 20
1/ Why does sociology matter for preventing and mitigating epidemics? Let me tell you why...
2/ Infectious disease is, by definition, a social and biological process. Both aspects of infectious disease matter a lot. You can consult other people for the biomedical side of things. Here, I'll tell you about the social science side of things.
3/ Infectious disease is social because it travels through social networks. For example, transportation hubs are often the focal points of infection.
Read 10 tweets

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