1/ Something can be very bad but not a coup. More thoughts on the #ElectoralCollegeRiot from a professor who studies protest.
2/ Some folks are concerned that by calling this a riot, rather than coup, you are implictely dismissing what is happening. Not true. By using hyperbole, you are platforming people who should be marginalized and ignored.
3/ From a social science perspective, the #ElectoralCollegeRiot fits a long term pattern of political riots aimed at harming or intimidating others, such as anti-Black race riots and political urban riots of earlier American history.
4/ These are clearly bad: people are harmed and killed, riots are used to defend privilege and corruption.
5/ But when social scientists use the term "coup" or attempted coup, they usually have in mind a situation where a person grabs power by enlisting the military or the paramilitary to prevent the assumption of power by democratically elected leaders.
6/ On recordings, Trump was found to be fishing for votes and, as is his way, filing dozens of "hail Mary" lawsuits. The best description of this is "fraud." Thankfully, we haven't seen generals go on TV to say that we need to postpone things. *That* would send me into panic.
7/ If media reports are to be believed, Trump incited a riot, which is a criminal offense and should be prosecuted. It is not likely that a crowd of angry middle aged MAGA nerds on a riot would topple the US government. Especially the guy wearing the D&D cosplay costume.
8/ If you buy my analysis, you should not be complacent. The proper response is to clear out rioters, treat them as criminals, prosecute them, and proceed as if nothing had happened. Biden won. End of story.
9/ Bottom line: It may be tempting to call every instance of political violence a coup. That's not quite right. This is a riot. The proper response to rioters is a stint in jail and to renormalize democratic politics as soon as possible.

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More from @fabiorojas

6 Jan
1/ Comments on pro-Trump protest from a professor who studies protest. Step #1: These protests are more performance, less coup.
2/ Protests vary in their goals and tactics. While pro-Trump/MAGA protests may claim that a conspiracy altered the election, the truth is probably more mundane.
3/ The #ElectoralCollegeRiot likely represents the alt.right's attempt to grab the spotlight one last time before Dem's control the legislature and White House.
Read 10 tweets
7 Jun 20
1/ Is police abolition "on the table" in Minneapolis? Last week, I thought "no," but people told me that it was. So I decided to dig into this a bit and see what is actually on the table. Spoiler: Still "no," but there are people on the city council who are serious about it.
2/ Summary - police abolition is the belief that police departments should be eliminated or drastically reduced. Public safety would then be provided through other mechanisms. The question: Is Minneapolis really about to "pull the plug" on its police?
3/ I found at least two Minn city council members and the council president saying that on record that would "disband" or "dismantle." Councilmember Fletcher even has an op-ed in Time promoting the idea. Read it here. time.com/5848705/disban…
Read 19 tweets
29 May 20
1/ What are the long term effects of violent protest? This is a topic that I have personally researched.
2/ Being upfront: I am antiwar and anti-violence in general. So take that as you will in the following analysis.
3/ Social scientists who have studied protest have long asked: does violence get you political concessions?
Read 12 tweets
25 May 20
1/ Developing the intuition behind "reopen" position. Here are a few things to assimilate into your thinking.
2/ Thought experiment: What if you knew with 100% certainty that no vaccine or therapy would be available in your lifetime? Then, you would need some form of "reopen" as you would not think about isolating yourself from humanity for ever.
3/ Furthermore, more and more functions would need to be done and people would need to go back to work, even "non-essential" occupations.
Read 10 tweets
22 May 20
1/ "Reopen" should be the default position of sociologists.
2/ A central idea in sociology is that relationships and communities matter. People with social ties are healthier, our culture improves our lives. This is impeded with indefinite shut down.
3/ Another finding of sociology is that unemployment and poverty are devastating. Shut downs create massive unemployment. Our official unemployment rate is 14% right now. Brutal. Image from tradingeconomics.com/united-states/…
Read 9 tweets
29 Mar 20
1/ Why does sociology matter for preventing and mitigating epidemics? Let me tell you why...
2/ Infectious disease is, by definition, a social and biological process. Both aspects of infectious disease matter a lot. You can consult other people for the biomedical side of things. Here, I'll tell you about the social science side of things.
3/ Infectious disease is social because it travels through social networks. For example, transportation hubs are often the focal points of infection.
Read 10 tweets

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