So sick of reading how +1.5C of global warming by around 2026-2027 will represent a grave threat to global food security and even risk the liveability of the planet can't journalists focus on something else for a change?
1. The IPCC says agriculture will be at high risk at 2C (likely by 2035-2049), however, risks of simultaneous crop failure 'increase disproportionately between 1.5 and 2°C, so surpassing the 1.5°C threshold will represent a threat to global food security.'sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
2. We're at 1.3/1.4C today using a 1750 baseline, which means 1.5°C by 2023-2027 should be expected.
But even using the more conservative 1850 baseline, we see that 1.5°C by 2026-2032 should be expected.
carbonbrief.org/analysis-when-…
But even using the more conservative 1850 baseline, we see that 1.5°C by 2026-2032 should be expected.
carbonbrief.org/analysis-when-…
3. 'new study says that going past 1.5C is dicing with the planet's liveability. And the 1.5C temperature "guard rail" could be exceeded..in 2030.'
This 2018 article doesn't mention 1.5C could hit by 2026 according to latest climate models (1850 baseline).bbc.com/news/science-e…
This 2018 article doesn't mention 1.5C could hit by 2026 according to latest climate models (1850 baseline).bbc.com/news/science-e…
4. This 2012 study suggests droughts brought on/exacerbated by climate change could threaten global food security as early as 2022 - 2027 at 1.5°C:
(Droughts lasting longer than 3 months will be more than twice as severe compared to the 1990-2005 period.) phys.org/news/2012-09-f…
(Droughts lasting longer than 3 months will be more than twice as severe compared to the 1990-2005 period.) phys.org/news/2012-09-f…
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