The essay is about inflation's effect on culture, through the analysis of a short story set in Weimar Germany. I've selected some quotes and will comment.
2/ "With all points of reference gone, the only law...appears to be perpetual change."
When money changes, everything else anchored on money starts to change as well. Prices being the most obvious one, but crucially, not the only one.
3/ "...if we seek an explanation for the dissolution of authority in the world he is portraying, we should look to the monetary madness of the Weimar Republic."
The insanity and disorder of society, in other words, can be traced back to monetary policy.
4/ "Everything threatens to become unreal once money ceases to be real."
Unreal, in this sense is counterfeit or fake. Societal attitudes become as fake as the money we use because it no longer just represents value provided, but also value fraudulently obtained.
5/ "By making money worthless, inflation threatens to undermine and dissolve all sense of value in a society."
Money helps us to know where we can expend our labor to best provide value. If our sense of value is skewed, we will no longer properly value our labor, time or energy.
6/ "...the characteristic inauthenticity of the world... is a direct response to government intervention in the market, which forces people to become fakes."
Fake money leads to fake values leads to fake people.
7/ "In a world in which all distinct categories begin to dissolve, a pervasive sense of relativism develops."
Relativism develops because there are no anchors, no fixed values. That comes from a constantly changing money.
8/ "There is no use planning for the future, since inflation, especially hyperinflation, makes future conditions uncertain and unpredictable."
Bad money causes uncertainty and uncertainty makes everyone become a lot more high time preference.
9/ "In an inflationary environment, one must dream of becoming an overnight success because the slow steady way of amassing a fortune by working hard simply will not work."
Low time preference saving and working are spurned in favor of hitting it big on one big gamble.
10/ "...the concept of representation in fiat money sounds like the prototype for the new concept of representation in modern art."
Postmodern art, in particular, is all about representing itself and not anything else. Its value is derived from itself. It's literally fiat art.
11/ "Postmodern images call attention to themselves, to the fact that they are merely images."
In a sense, the narcissism of modernity is a result of a lack of an anchor or stable reference of value to anything else, much like postmodern art.
12/ "the inauthenticity of modern life, which has often been blamed on capitalist practices such as advertising, is more properly viewed as the result of the inflationary environment created by government."
In other words, fiat money leads to fiat lives, lived inauthentically.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
2/6 The subtitle is "The Creation, Corruption and Redemption of Money" and speaks to money's purpose, how it's been corrupted over time and how Bitcoin redeems the corrupt nature of the current central-bank backed fiat monetary system
3/6 The main audience for this book is Christians, many of whom hold wildly biased notions of Bitcoin and makes the moral argument for Bitcoin. Not only is it a better, harder money, but it's a more moral money that's better aligned with building up civilization.
Short rant about Quantum Computing breaking bitcoin:
1/ If you study even a little of it, you realize very quickly that the engineering challenges are enormous. Most attempts use temperatures a tiny fraction of a degree above absolute zero, not exactly easy to produce.
2/ What's more, the way quantum works is that you have lots of coherence problems and half-life problems. You need redundancy which adds enormous complexity to the system.
3/ Add to that the best quantum algorithms really only give you a square-root factor speed-up. So if it took 2^256 operations for a brute force attack, congrats, now you need to do 2^128 operations... on a quantum computer.
1/ Back of the envelope math for doing a 58 block reorg (current confirmations for the tx that took money from binance):
Minimal cost: 58 * 12.5 btc = 725 BTC (assumes every miner would get roughly the same tx fees in the new chain and that 100% of miners go with this scheme)
2/ If 75% of the network going with this scheme, you would need on average 116 blocks to overtake the current chain, or about 1450 BTC worth of mining rewards.
At 60%, this becomes 290 blocks or 3625 BTC. At 55%, 580 blocks/7250 BTC.
3/ 7250 BTC > 7000 BTC, so at minimum, you need more than 55% of all hashing power to agree to reorg the chain. In 58 more blocks, this rises to 60%, in 116 blocks, 65%. In 174 blocks, 70%, 232 blocks/75%. The cost goes up pretty quickly assuming everyone agrees.
Executive summary:
- They're disrupting crypto exchanges
- They can make a lot of money $5/user/month at scale
- This is the next level of financial inclusion that we need
2/ A lot of people are asking about my involvement, especially since they're really skeptical of the business model. How is it possible they can charge $5/user/month and make money where other exchanges charge 0.15% per trade? The conclusion they've jumped to is that I'm scamming
3/ Allow me to lay out my investment thesis:
First, most people are skeptical because they've been abused by the financial services industry. They expect financial services of any kind to cost a lot of money in some way, shape or form. This is due to a lot of rent-seeking.
As long as there are people that get influence through being rich, having degrees, owning domains, being born into an influential family, kissing up to the right people and getting influence on anything other than their own ability, we are not there.
2/ Notice that all of those activities are essentially rent-seeking behaviors. Demanding some form of influence merely for being, not for doing. Why is this? How did rent-seeking become so prevalent? Why are there so many people intent on extracting money without adding anything?
3/ Here's why. Fiat money. Easy money. When money can be printed, when money can be extracted from the rest of the population and given to the rent seekers, people naturally rent-seek. It's easier than actually adding value.